Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.0%Northwestern State

90.0%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -14.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.8

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -900

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 65

Projected Total143.8

Projected ScoreCalifornia 79

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricCalifornia

41.3MMH Power Index56.5

104.0Offensive Efficiency111.8

109.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

-5.0Net Efficiency7.0

-1.6Strength of Schedule2.8

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

63.6Tempo69.9

49.5%Effective FG%52.6%

17.6%Turnover Rate14.9%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

41.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-3.2Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–41.3), offensive efficiency (111.8–104.0), defensive efficiency (104.8–109.0), net efficiency (7.0–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (27.1–26.6), free throw rate (41.2–36.8).

Final

Northwestern State

70—79

California

California by 9 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATCalifornia

23-51FG25-55

45.0%FG%45.0%

11-243PT12-26

46.0%3PT%46.0%

13-15FT17-21

87.0%FT%81.0%

27Rebounds34

5Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists17

14Turnovers12

6Steals8

1Blocks4

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Izzy Miles	G	30	7-14	3-4	5-7	3	2	0	1	22
Micah Thomas	G	31	4-11	3-7	0-0	0	5	0	0	11
Landyn Jumawan	G	32	2-5	2-5	3-3	4	1	2	0	9
Willie Williams	F	33	2-5	0-0	2-2	8	1	2	0	6
Chris Mubiru	G	20	2-5	0-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	6
Justin Redmond	G	17	2-6	2-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Omar Adegbola	G	16	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Moustapha Loum	F	14	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	3
Kordrick Turner	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Camden	F	36	7-11	6-9	5-7	3	2	2	0	25
Dai Dai Ames	G	37	8-20	3-6	1-1	3	2	1	0	20
Semetri Carr	G	34	4-7	2-5	4-4	4	7	0	0	14
Lee Dort	F	33	2-4	0-0	5-6	13	3	2	3	9
Nolan Dorsey	G	22	2-3	1-2	2-2	2	0	2	0	7
Chris Bell	F	16	1-6	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Milos Ilic	C	8	1-2	0-0	0-1	4	1	1	0	2
DeJuan Campbell	G	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

104.3Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency104.3

-13.4Net Efficiency13.4

55.9%Effective FG%56.4%

60.2%True Shooting %60.8%

20.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

29.4%Free Throw Rate38.2%

47.1%3-Point Rate47.3%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

California won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.