Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%Northern Arizona

69.7%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego -230

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 73

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreSan Diego 79

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricSan Diego

36.9MMH Power Index39.8

107.1Offensive Efficiency106.2

114.8Defensive Efficiency111.1

-7.7Net Efficiency-4.9

-1.8Strength of Schedule-1.2

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

66.6Tempo70.1

53.5%Effective FG%52.0%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.8%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

33.6%Free Throw Rate26.3%

-5.1Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.8–36.9), defensive efficiency (111.1–114.8), net efficiency (-4.9–-7.7), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.8).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–106.2), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.0), ball security (15.8–17.8).

Final

Northern Arizona

69—78

San Diego

San Diego by 9 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATSan Diego

25-52FG25-50

48.0%FG%50.0%

7-203PT10-23

35.0%3PT%43.0%

12-14FT18-24

86.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists16

17Turnovers14

7Steals8

1Blocks2

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zack Davidson	F	28	8-11	0-0	3-5	5	1	0	0	19
Arne Osojnik	G	23	6-10	2-6	3-3	2	2	1	0	17
Ryan Abelman	G	32	5-9	4-6	0-0	2	4	2	0	14
Isaiah Shaw	G	27	2-4	0-1	3-3	0	2	0	0	7
Kavon Bradford	G	17	1-7	0-0	1-1	3	2	0	0	3
Diego Campisano	F	7	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	0	1	1	3
Traivar Jackson	F	29	0-2	0-0	2-2	7	2	2	0	2
Brennan Peterson	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Karl Poom	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Oakland Fort	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Chris Komin	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	30	6-13	1-4	10-12	2	4	1	0	23
Toneari Lane	G	24	5-9	5-9	0-0	1	1	1	0	15
Adrian McIntyre	G	16	4-5	2-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	10
Brandon Benjamin	G	6	3-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Alejandro Aviles	F	17	2-3	0-0	2-3	3	1	1	2	6
Vuk Boskovic	F	29	1-4	0-1	2-2	5	1	0	0	4
Gavin Ripp	F	21	1-2	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	0	4
Juanse Gorosito	G	18	1-4	1-3	0-2	2	4	2	0	3
D'Arrae Goodwin	F	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Assane Diop	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Tim Moore Jr.	F	3	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Dominique Ford	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Emmanuel Callas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

103.6Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency103.6

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

54.8%Effective FG%60.0%

58.8%True Shooting %63.5%

25.5%Turnover Rate21.1%

26.9%Free Throw Rate48.0%

38.5%3-Point Rate46.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

San Diego won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.