Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Southern Illinois

50.5%Richmond

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRichmond -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINERichmond -102

Richmond

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 73

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreRichmond 75

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricRichmond

54.6MMH Power Index50.2

103.4Offensive Efficiency111.3

98.5Defensive Efficiency107.3

4.9Net Efficiency4.0

1.6Strength of Schedule0.3

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

70.6Tempo68.9

49.5%Effective FG%52.8%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.1%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

32.3%Free Throw Rate37.5%

3.4Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–50.2), defensive efficiency (98.5–107.3), net efficiency (4.9–4.0), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Richmond COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.3–103.4), shooting efficiency (52.8–49.5), ball security (14.1–17.0).

Final

Southern Illinois

84—93

Richmond

Richmond by 9 • 87.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATRichmond

30-69FG32-63

43.0%FG%51.0%

4-133PT9-26

31.0%3PT%35.0%

20-25FT20-27

80.0%FT%74.0%

48Rebounds29

15Offensive Rebounds2

14Assists14

22Turnovers13

7Steals10

—Blocks5

27Fouls23

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Rolyns Aligbe	F	32	7-11	1-2	4-6	11	0	1	19
Quel'Ron House	G	28	7-15	0-0	3-3	2	4	2	17
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	32	4-6	3-4	1-2	3	1	0	12
Jalen Haynes	G	22	3-5	0-1	6-6	4	4	1	12
Drew Steffe	G	31	2-9	0-1	5-5	2	3	1	9
Isaiah Stafford	G	13	3-7	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	6
Prince Aligbe	F	31	2-7	0-0	0-0	9	2	0	4
Davion Sykes	G	15	2-5	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	4
Max Pikaar	F	14	0-3	0-3	1-2	0	0	1	1
Jorge Moreno	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0

Richmond

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aiden Argabright	G	27	4-6	1-3	9-11	0	3	1	0	18
Will Johnston	G	34	5-10	3-5	4-4	5	2	1	0	17
Jonathan Beagle	F	22	7-10	0-1	0-4	8	3	2	0	14
Jaden Daughtry	F	16	4-8	2-3	2-3	1	0	0	0	12
AJ Lopez	G	28	3-7	0-3	5-5	4	1	1	0	11
Mikkel Tyne	G	14	4-6	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	10
Mike Walz	C	18	3-8	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	3	6
Apostolos Roumoglou	F	28	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	2	1	2	3
Collin Tanner	G	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
David Thomas	G	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Jaylen Robinson	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

87.4Possessions87.4

96.1Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency96.1

-10.3Net Efficiency10.3

46.4%Effective FG%57.9%

51.9%True Shooting %61.3%

25.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

36.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

18.8%3-Point Rate41.3%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Richmond won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 87.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.