San Francisco

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%San Francisco

91.4%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -17.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -1063

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 69

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 86

Team Comparison

San FranciscoMetricSaint Louis

50.1MMH Power Index66.7

110.4Offensive Efficiency120.8

108.2Defensive Efficiency97.6

2.2Net Efficiency23.2

1.4Strength of Schedule0.3

-8.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

67.6Tempo72.2

51.9%Effective FG%59.9%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.1%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

40.5%Free Throw Rate33.9%

1.5Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–50.1), offensive efficiency (120.8–110.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–108.2), net efficiency (23.2–2.2).

San Francisco COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.4–0.3), ball security (16.1–17.1), offensive rebounding (31.8–31.6).

Final

San Francisco

75—85

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 10 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San FranciscoTEAM STATSaint Louis

25-62FG30-62

40.0%FG%48.0%

10-363PT7-24

28.0%3PT%29.0%

15-21FT18-25

71.0%FT%72.0%

33Rebounds44

10Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists20

9Turnovers9

6Steals8

3Blocks3

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Beasley	G	34	6-14	3-8	6-7	3	1	1	1	21
Tyrone Riley IV	G	37	6-11	1-5	4-6	3	1	2	0	17
Legend Smiley	G	19	5-11	3-9	0-0	4	0	1	0	13
Junjie Wang	F	28	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	2	0	0	7
Veniamin Abosi	G	21	3-5	1-3	0-1	2	1	0	0	7
Mookie Cook	F	26	1-7	0-3	3-4	7	4	2	1	5
Vukasin Masic	G	22	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	11	0-4	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	1	0
Saba Gigiberia	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amari McCottry	G	31	6-14	0-3	6-12	5	2	2	1	18
Dion Brown	G	25	6-8	0-2	2-3	11	1	0	0	14
Ishan Sharma	F	24	3-6	2-5	2-2	5	3	1	0	10
Kellen Thames	G	19	5-9	0-0	0-0	5	3	1	0	10
Robbie Avila	C	24	3-7	1-4	2-2	3	3	0	0	9
Trey Green	G	21	3-6	1-2	2-2	2	2	2	0	9
Brady Dunlap	F	18	2-5	2-5	2-2	1	2	1	0	8
Quentin Jones	G	34	1-5	1-3	2-2	4	4	1	2	5
Paul Otieno	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

106.4Offensive Efficiency120.6

120.6Defensive Efficiency106.4

-14.2Net Efficiency14.2

48.4%Effective FG%54.0%

52.1%True Shooting %57.5%

12.7%Turnover Rate12.9%

33.9%Free Throw Rate40.3%

58.1%3-Point Rate38.7%

1.22Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.