Pepperdine

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%Pepperdine

46.0%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Bakersfield -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPepperdine -117

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePepperdine 78

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 78

Team Comparison

PepperdineMetricCal State Bakersfield

38.2MMH Power Index32.2

103.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

113.6Defensive Efficiency112.6

-10.4Net Efficiency-12.4

0.7Strength of Schedule-1.7

-10.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

70.0Tempo73.0

48.7%Effective FG%46.4%

18.3%Turnover Rate18.6%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.0%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-7.3Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pepperdine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPepperdine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.2–32.2), offensive efficiency (103.2–100.2), net efficiency (-10.4–-12.4), strength of schedule (0.7–-1.7).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.6–113.6), free throw rate (43.8–34.0).

Final

Pepperdine

70—62

Cal State Bakersfield

Pepperdine by 8 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PepperdineTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

25-55FG17-57

45.0%FG%30.0%

7-213PT4-24

33.0%3PT%17.0%

13-19FT24-25

68.0%FT%96.0%

36Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds16

12Assists4

15Turnovers15

8Steals9

—Blocks11

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Pepperdine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Aaron Clark	G	38	10-15	3-4	2-3	3	3	5	25
Javon Cooley	G	27	6-9	3-6	2-2	5	0	0	17
Styles Phipps	G	37	5-9	0-1	3-6	7	4	1	13
Danilo Dožic	C	33	3-9	0-5	2-2	2	1	0	8
Yonatan Levy	F	29	1-5	1-2	2-2	8	1	1	5
Pavle Stošic	F	23	0-3	0-1	2-4	2	3	0	2
Luka Vudragovic	G	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Stefan Cicic	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0
David Mager	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hardy	G	39	4-15	2-9	6-6	8	1	2	2	16
Jaden Alexander	G	31	3-10	1-2	9-9	8	1	0	0	16
Dailin Smith	G	28	3-12	0-6	9-10	5	0	2	0	15
Ronald Jessamy	F	26	4-8	0-2	0-0	4	1	2	4	8
AJ George	G	31	3-5	1-1	0-0	5	0	1	2	7
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	3	0
Mike Price	G	20	0-7	0-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Kadar Waller	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

103.7Offensive Efficiency91.9

91.9Defensive Efficiency103.7

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

51.8%Effective FG%33.3%

54.7%True Shooting %45.0%

22.4%Turnover Rate22.1%

34.5%Free Throw Rate43.9%

38.2%3-Point Rate42.1%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.27

Game Summary

Pepperdine won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.