Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%Mississippi State

60.6%Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL160.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah -154

Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 78

Projected Total160.1

Projected ScoreUtah 82

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricUtah

44.6MMH Power Index43.9

107.4Offensive Efficiency108.8

113.2Defensive Efficiency115.8

-5.8Net Efficiency-7.0

5.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.3

72.3Tempo68.3

51.6%Effective FG%52.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.7%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

30.9%Free Throw Rate32.2%

-4.2Average Margin-4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mississippi State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMississippi State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–43.9), defensive efficiency (113.2–115.8), net efficiency (-5.8–-7.0), ball security (16.1–16.7).

Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–107.4), strength of schedule (5.1–5.0), recent form (-16.3–-17.5).

Final

Mississippi State

82—74

Utah

Mississippi State by 8 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATUtah

33-65FG24-53

51.0%FG%45.0%

10-253PT8-23

40.0%3PT%35.0%

6-9FT18-24

67.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists11

8Turnovers14

10Steals6

3Blocks5

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	26	11-16	5-7	2-2	2	1	1	0	29
Jayden Epps	G	34	8-15	3-9	1-2	4	1	2	0	20
Josh Hubbard	G	30	6-18	1-6	0-0	3	4	1	0	13
Quincy Ballard	C	24	2-4	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	3	6
Sergej Macura	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	4
Brandon Walker	F	6	1-3	0-0	1-3	2	1	1	0	3
King Grace	G	3	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	27	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	3	3	0	2
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Dellquan Warren	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Achor Achor	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Don McHenry	G	31	9-16	5-9	6-8	2	0	1	0	29
Terrence Brown	G	30	7-15	1-4	7-8	1	3	2	0	22
Keanu Dawes	F	30	2-6	0-3	3-3	4	2	1	3	7
Obomate Abbey	G	19	2-4	1-2	1-1	1	3	1	0	6
Seydou Traore	F	33	1-5	1-3	1-2	5	0	0	0	4
Kendyl Sanders	F	24	2-5	0-2	0-2	7	2	1	2	4
Josh Hayes	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
James Okonkwo	F	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Jahki Howard	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

117.3Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency117.3

11.4Net Efficiency-11.4

58.5%Effective FG%52.8%

59.2%True Shooting %57.5%

11.5%Turnover Rate19.9%

13.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

38.5%3-Point Rate43.4%

1.75Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.