Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Buffalo

47.7%East Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -110

East Carolina

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 77

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 77

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricEast Carolina

49.7MMH Power Index44.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency102.0

112.2Defensive Efficiency110.5

2.7Net Efficiency-8.5

0.0Strength of Schedule2.6

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.9Tempo70.1

56.1%Effective FG%46.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.4%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

40.4%Free Throw Rate40.2%

1.8Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–44.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–102.0), net efficiency (2.7–-8.5), shooting efficiency (56.1–46.7).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.5–112.2), strength of schedule (2.6–0.0), recent form (-1.8–-5.9).

Final

Buffalo

70—73

East Carolina

East Carolina by 3 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATEast Carolina

23-59FG23-63

39.0%FG%37.0%

8-263PT4-20

31.0%3PT%20.0%

16-21FT23-30

76.0%FT%77.0%

40Rebounds40

14Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists9

13Turnovers7

5Steals12

1Blocks4

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Freitag	G	39	8-19	5-10	10-13	11	1	1	0	31
Ryan Sabol	G	39	8-15	3-8	0-0	4	1	0	0	19
Mikhail Pocknett	F	20	2-6	0-0	3-4	13	1	1	0	7
Tim Oboh	C	15	3-6	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	7
Ezra McKenna	F	29	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Noah Batchelor	G	26	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	25	1-6	0-3	0-0	3	4	3	0	2
Angelo Brizzi	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	39	10-22	0-2	11-16	8	1	1	1	31
Tybo Bailey	G	32	2-7	2-6	5-6	4	1	1	0	11
Giovanni Emejuru	C	28	5-10	0-0	0-0	10	0	1	0	10
Isaiah Mbeng	G	29	3-9	2-6	0-0	3	1	4	0	8
Luke Davis	F	23	2-6	0-1	2-2	11	1	2	3	6
Corey Caulker	G	31	1-6	0-3	3-4	1	4	3	0	5
Reid Cason	F	5	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Paddy D'Arcy	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

101.9Offensive Efficiency106.3

106.3Defensive Efficiency101.9

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

45.8%Effective FG%39.7%

50.7%True Shooting %47.2%

19.1%Turnover Rate10.1%

35.6%Free Throw Rate47.6%

44.1%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.