Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Merrimack

60.9%Vermont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVermont -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL137.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVermont -156

Vermont

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 67

Projected Total137.6

Projected ScoreVermont 71

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricVermont

53.7MMH Power Index53.1

106.4Offensive Efficiency112.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency104.7

3.2Net Efficiency7.5

0.7Strength of Schedule-4.4

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency12.4

64.4Tempo65.4

49.3%Effective FG%54.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate14.4%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

39.5%Free Throw Rate32.4%

2.1Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.2–106.4), net efficiency (7.5–3.2), shooting efficiency (54.1–49.3), ball security (14.4–14.8).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.7–53.1), defensive efficiency (103.2–104.7), strength of schedule (0.7–-4.4).

Final

Merrimack

59—66

Vermont

Vermont by 7 • 58.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATVermont

20-51FG21-50

39.0%FG%42.0%

6-223PT4-22

27.0%3PT%18.0%

13-16FT20-24

81.0%FT%83.0%

28Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists9

9Turnovers7

4Steals5

4Blocks1

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevair Kennedy	G	36	7-14	0-0	6-6	5	7	0	1	20
Tye Dorset	G	29	4-12	1-6	3-4	1	0	1	0	12
Ernest Shelton	G	38	4-12	3-10	0-0	2	0	2	0	11
KC Ugwuakazi	F	23	3-4	0-0	3-4	8	0	1	3	9
Andrés Marrero	G	29	1-3	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	4
Dylan Veillette	F	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	3
Todd Brogna	F	22	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jaylen Stinson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Brendan Johnson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Barnett	F	32	4-6	0-0	8-10	5	0	2	0	16
Sean Blake	G	33	6-7	0-1	2-4	4	5	0	0	14
TJ Long	G	35	4-11	1-7	4-4	4	0	2	0	13
Gus Yalden	F	16	4-10	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	1	10
Ben Johnson	G	26	2-6	2-6	0-0	5	2	0	0	6
TJ Hurley	G	32	1-6	1-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Lucas Mari	G	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Momo Nkugwa	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
David Simon	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.5Possessions58.5

100.9Offensive Efficiency112.8

112.8Defensive Efficiency100.9

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

45.1%Effective FG%46.0%

50.3%True Shooting %53.7%

15.4%Turnover Rate12.0%

31.4%Free Throw Rate48.0%

43.1%3-Point Rate44.0%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Vermont won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 58.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.