Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Indiana State

64.3%Milwaukee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMilwaukee -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMilwaukee -180

Milwaukee

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 76

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreMilwaukee 79

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricMilwaukee

44.4MMH Power Index45.1

104.7Offensive Efficiency109.7

106.0Defensive Efficiency114.6

-1.3Net Efficiency-4.9

0.1Strength of Schedule0.4

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

70.3Tempo69.5

53.6%Effective FG%50.6%

19.5%Turnover Rate15.0%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %33.5%

28.8%Free Throw Rate33.1%

-0.9Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Milwaukee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMilwaukee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.1–44.4), offensive efficiency (109.7–104.7), strength of schedule (0.4–0.1), ball security (15.0–19.5).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–114.6), net efficiency (-1.3–-4.9), recent form (-5.2–-6.5).

Final

Indiana State

70—68

Milwaukee

Indiana State by 2 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATMilwaukee

29-52FG24-67

56.0%FG%36.0%

8-243PT5-26

33.0%3PT%19.0%

4-6FT15-19

67.0%FT%79.0%

34Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds16

19Assists11

15Turnovers6

2Steals11

3Blocks2

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camp Wagner	G	33	6-10	4-7	2-3	9	4	1	0	18
Derek Vorst	C	25	5-6	0-0	2-2	4	2	1	0	12
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	27	5-9	1-5	0-0	3	4	0	0	11
Xavier Hall	G	29	5-7	0-1	0-0	2	4	0	0	10
Sterling Young	G	26	4-11	2-6	0-0	1	2	0	0	10
Bruno Alocen	G	22	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Enel St. Bernard	F	23	2-3	0-0	0-1	6	2	0	2	4
Jayan Walker	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ian Scott	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Sivert Waerstad Nordheim	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Milwaukee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Danilo Jovanovich	F	33	7-11	0-0	2-4	9	3	3	0	16
Faizon Fields	F	24	5-7	0-0	6-7	8	1	2	0	16
Stevie Elam	G	23	4-8	4-8	1-2	2	0	0	0	13
Josh Dixon	G	21	2-6	0-3	4-4	0	2	1	1	8
Isaiah Dorceus	G	31	2-10	1-5	0-0	2	2	2	0	5
Esyah Pippa-White	G	25	1-5	0-2	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Sekou Konneh	F	14	2-7	0-2	0-0	7	0	2	1	4
Aaron Franklin	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Amar Augillard	G	16	0-10	0-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

106.9Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency106.9

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

63.5%Effective FG%39.6%

63.8%True Shooting %44.7%

23.1%Turnover Rate9.1%

11.5%Free Throw Rate28.4%

46.2%3-Point Rate38.8%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.