Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.7%Saint Mary's

32.3%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -210

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 76

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreBoise State 72

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricBoise State

70.7MMH Power Index59.5

116.7Offensive Efficiency113.9

97.4Defensive Efficiency107.1

19.3Net Efficiency6.8

3.0Strength of Schedule4.2

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

66.3Tempo68.6

53.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate42.7%

12.8Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (116.7–113.9), defensive efficiency (97.4–107.1), net efficiency (19.3–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–3.0), free throw rate (42.7–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

67—68

Boise State

Boise State by 1 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATBoise State

21-57FG25-52

37.0%FG%48.0%

5-193PT6-19

26.0%3PT%32.0%

20-24FT12-14

83.0%FT%86.0%

33Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds4

7Assists9

10Turnovers15

6Steals5

—Blocks1

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Paulius Murauskas	F	38	6-11	1-2	8-10	11	0	1	21
Joshua Dent	G	40	5-9	1-4	5-5	0	6	2	16
Dillan Shaw	G	34	5-9	2-6	0-0	4	0	1	12
Liam Campbell	G	24	1-6	1-3	4-5	3	1	0	7
Andrew McKeever	C	26	2-10	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	5
Tony Duckett	G	7	1-5	0-1	2-2	0	0	1	4
Harry Wessels	C	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2
Mikey Lewis	G	9	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0
Rory Hawke	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Mantas Juzenas	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Fielder	C	21	10-17	2-6	0-1	5	0	0	0	22
Javan Buchanan	F	32	4-7	1-3	2-2	7	2	0	0	11
Dylan Andrews	G	31	2-6	1-1	4-4	1	2	1	0	9
Pearson Carmichael	F	26	3-4	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	9
Dominic Parolin	F	19	1-4	1-3	4-4	2	0	1	1	7
Andrew Meadow	F	27	2-7	0-3	0-0	2	1	2	0	4
RJ Keene II	G	23	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	0	4
Aginaldo Neto	G	16	1-4	0-1	0-1	0	1	0	0	2
Spencer Ahrens	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

97.0Offensive Efficiency98.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency97.0

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

41.2%Effective FG%53.8%

49.0%True Shooting %58.0%

14.6%Turnover Rate21.5%

42.1%Free Throw Rate26.9%

33.3%3-Point Rate36.5%

0.70Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Boise State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.