Washington State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.6%Washington State

61.4%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -159

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWashington State 77

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreUSC 81

Team Comparison

Washington StateMetricUSC

48.7MMH Power Index48.3

110.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

112.0Defensive Efficiency107.6

-2.0Net Efficiency0.9

3.3Strength of Schedule2.5

-2.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

69.2Tempo72.4

54.9%Effective FG%50.7%

18.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.7%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-1.4Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (107.6–112.0), net efficiency (0.9–-2.0), ball security (17.2–18.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–29.7).

Washington State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.7–48.3), offensive efficiency (110.0–108.5), strength of schedule (3.3–2.5).

Final

Washington State

61—68

USC

USC by 7 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Washington StateTEAM STATUSC

21-53FG20-50

40.0%FG%40.0%

9-283PT1-13

32.0%3PT%8.0%

10-14FT27-34

71.0%FT%79.0%

28Rebounds35

4Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists15

13Turnovers11

6Steals3

1Blocks4

29Fouls17

Player Box Score

Washington State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rihards Vavers	F	24	5-8	3-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	13
Eemeli Yalaho	F	29	3-7	2-6	2-2	6	0	0	0	10
Jerone Morton	G	21	4-7	1-3	1-2	0	2	1	0	10
Tomas Thrastarson	G	32	4-10	1-6	0-1	1	3	1	0	9
ND Okafor	F	22	1-3	0-0	6-6	4	1	1	1	8
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	18	2-5	2-3	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Ace Glass	G	23	1-7	0-3	1-2	3	2	1	0	3
Adria Rodriguez	G	22	1-4	0-0	0-1	1	2	2	0	2
Simon Hildebrandt	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Parker Gerrits	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Cofie	F	35	9-12	0-1	3-6	10	2	1	1	21
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	34	4-13	0-5	11-11	6	5	0	2	19
Ezra Ausar	F	38	2-8	0-0	9-11	5	2	1	0	13
Jordan Marsh	G	31	3-5	1-1	1-2	3	5	1	0	8
Jaden Brownell	F	15	2-7	0-4	2-2	5	0	0	1	6
Terrance Williams II	F	20	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
Jerry Easter II	G	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Cornish	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gabe Dynes	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

86.5Offensive Efficiency96.5

96.5Defensive Efficiency86.5

-9.9Net Efficiency9.9

48.1%Effective FG%41.0%

51.1%True Shooting %51.4%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

26.4%Free Throw Rate68.0%

52.8%3-Point Rate26.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

USC won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.