Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Florida State

65.5%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -190

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 74

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreDayton 79

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricDayton

58.7MMH Power Index59.9

111.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency101.5

3.4Net Efficiency7.0

5.7Strength of Schedule5.7

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

71.8Tempo68.3

52.4%Effective FG%52.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

35.2%Free Throw Rate47.6%

2.4Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Florida State

69—97

Dayton

Dayton by 28 • 78.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATDayton

21-58FG25-51

36.0%FG%49.0%

8-273PT7-23

30.0%3PT%30.0%

19-27FT40-47

70.0%FT%85.0%

37Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds6

7Assists15

20Turnovers12

7Steals11

2Blocks6

31Fouls18

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe MaGee	G	19	4-9	3-7	4-5	4	0	0	0	15
Lajae Jones	G	26	3-7	1-3	7-8	8	0	2	0	14
Martin Somerville	G	26	3-8	2-5	3-6	4	1	0	0	11
Robert McCray V	G	23	5-12	0-2	0-0	4	3	2	0	10
Cam Miles	G	21	3-8	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	8
AJ Swinton	F	29	1-2	1-2	0-2	1	2	0	1	3
Thomas Bassong	F	12	1-3	0-1	1-2	7	0	0	0	3
Alier Maluk	F	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	3
Alex Steen	F	10	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Chauncey Wiggins	F	27	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Shah Muhammad	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	35	5-14	3-12	12-12	4	2	2	1	25
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	30	7-10	1-2	5-7	2	3	4	2	20
Jordan Derkack	G	26	2-4	1-2	8-10	9	3	2	0	13
Keonte Jones	G	32	3-4	1-2	4-6	5	4	3	2	11
Amaël L'Etang	F	23	1-4	0-0	8-8	3	2	0	1	10
Malcolm Thomas	F	16	4-8	1-2	1-2	7	0	0	0	10
Bryce Heard	G	21	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jacob Conner	F	12	0-3	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Damon Friery	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jaiun Simon	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Makai Grant	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Dickey	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.1Possessions78.1

88.3Offensive Efficiency124.2

124.2Defensive Efficiency88.3

-35.9Net Efficiency35.9

43.1%Effective FG%55.9%

48.7%True Shooting %66.1%

26.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

46.6%Free Throw Rate92.2%

46.6%3-Point Rate45.1%

0.35Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Dayton won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 78.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.