Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Little Rock

70.6%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -240

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 71

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreMorehead State 78

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricMorehead State

44MMH Power Index47.3

103.0Offensive Efficiency110.8

108.2Defensive Efficiency110.0

-5.2Net Efficiency0.8

0.5Strength of Schedule-4.0

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

68.5Tempo67.9

50.3%Effective FG%51.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-3.6Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.8–103.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.2), recent form (3.1–-0.7).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.2–110.0), strength of schedule (0.5–-4.0).

Final

Little Rock

64—78

Morehead State

Morehead State by 14 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATMorehead State

21-53FG27-59

40.0%FG%46.0%

4-163PT5-16

25.0%3PT%31.0%

18-25FT19-25

72.0%FT%76.0%

24Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists19

14Turnovers18

12Steals9

3Blocks3

23Fouls20

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	31	6-10	0-0	5-8	6	2	7	0	17
Kachi Nzeh	F	28	4-7	1-3	4-4	1	1	1	2	13
Johnathan Lawson	G	39	3-12	2-7	4-4	4	5	2	1	12
Cameron Wallace	F	33	4-10	0-1	3-7	7	1	0	0	11
Braxton Bayless	G	37	3-10	1-3	0-0	4	4	1	0	7
Truman Claytor IV	F	22	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
George Marshall	G	28	4-9	3-6	6-8	6	2	0	1	17
Chase Dawson	G	30	5-8	1-3	2-2	5	3	1	0	13
Tyonne Farrell	F	19	5-5	0-0	1-2	3	6	0	0	11
Tamaury Releford	C	16	4-5	0-0	1-1	5	1	0	1	9
Jon Carroll	F	24	3-6	0-0	2-2	7	0	4	0	8
Davion Cunningham	G	20	1-9	0-3	5-7	1	1	0	1	7
Josiah LeGree	G	12	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	3	3	0	5
Clayton Parker	F	26	1-5	0-1	2-3	6	3	1	0	4
Anouar Mellouk	F	14	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Vince Dawson III	G	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

86.0Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency86.0

-18.8Net Efficiency18.8

43.4%Effective FG%50.0%

49.3%True Shooting %55.0%

19.2%Turnover Rate23.7%

47.2%Free Throw Rate42.4%

30.2%3-Point Rate27.1%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.