Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.6%Valparaiso

75.4%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -307

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 69

Projected Total145.0

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 76

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricNorthwestern

49.9MMH Power Index55.4

106.6Offensive Efficiency111.6

105.8Defensive Efficiency109.8

0.8Net Efficiency1.8

0.3Strength of Schedule5.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

67.5Tempo65.6

48.7%Effective FG%51.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.0%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate34.8%

0.5Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–49.9), offensive efficiency (111.6–106.6), net efficiency (1.8–0.8), strength of schedule (5.6–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–109.8), recent form (-0.1–-2.7), offensive rebounding (32.4–28.2).

Final

Valparaiso

70—86

Northwestern

Northwestern by 16 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATNorthwestern

24-54FG33-61

44.0%FG%54.0%

6-193PT5-21

32.0%3PT%24.0%

16-22FT15-22

73.0%FT%68.0%

31Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists17

15Turnovers7

6Steals6

2Blocks4

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Pettigrew	F	28	3-8	0-1	7-11	6	3	2	0	13
Brody Whitaker	G	26	5-10	1-4	1-2	3	2	0	0	12
Justus McNair	G	19	3-5	1-1	3-4	2	1	1	1	10
Isaiah Barnes	G	22	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Owen Dease	F	16	3-5	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	7
Rakim Chaney	G	30	2-6	2-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Carter Hopoi	F	18	2-5	0-1	2-2	4	1	0	0	6
Shon Tupuola	C	25	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	1	4
Mark Brown Jr.	G	7	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Tucker Tornatta	C	6	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	2	0	0	2
Kyonte Thomas	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	30	12-19	1-4	4-7	6	1	1	1	29
Arrinten Page	F	33	7-12	1-3	3-5	7	3	0	1	18
Jayden Reid	G	31	4-10	0-4	5-6	3	5	1	0	13
Tre Singleton	F	20	4-6	0-2	2-2	4	3	1	1	10
Justin Mullins	G	27	3-4	0-1	1-2	2	1	2	0	7
Jordan Clayton	G	26	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	2	1	1	6
Max Green	G	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Angelo Ciaravino	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jake West	G	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

102.2Offensive Efficiency125.5

125.5Defensive Efficiency102.2

-23.4Net Efficiency23.4

50.0%Effective FG%58.2%

54.3%True Shooting %60.2%

21.6%Turnover Rate10.4%

40.7%Free Throw Rate36.1%

35.2%3-Point Rate34.4%

0.80Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.