UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%UC Santa Barbara

60.9%Green Bay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGreen Bay -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEGreen Bay -156

Green Bay

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 75

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreGreen Bay 77

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricGreen Bay

51.4MMH Power Index50.8

113.2Offensive Efficiency114.0

106.1Defensive Efficiency114.0

7.1Net Efficiency0.0

-2.0Strength of Schedule0.7

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.1

68.5Tempo65.7

54.8%Effective FG%55.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate15.9%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

37.9%Free Throw Rate42.4%

4.8Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Green Bay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGreen Bay holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.0–113.2), strength of schedule (0.7–-2.0), recent form (5.1–-1.7), shooting efficiency (55.4–54.8).

UC Santa Barbara COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (51.4–50.8), defensive efficiency (106.1–114.0), net efficiency (7.1–0.0).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

64—67

Green Bay

Green Bay by 3 • 56.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATGreen Bay

26-46FG22-43

57.0%FG%51.0%

7-193PT11-21

37.0%3PT%52.0%

5-7FT12-23

71.0%FT%52.0%

30Rebounds20

5Offensive Rebounds3

12Assists18

11Turnovers7

3Steals5

4Blocks1

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	35	7-12	2-6	2-2	2	4	0	0	18
CJ Shaw	G	36	4-7	2-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	10
Colin Smith	F	32	4-8	1-2	1-1	2	1	0	0	10
Hosana Kitenge	F	19	4-5	0-0	2-4	6	1	0	1	10
Marvin McGhee IV	G	34	2-6	1-5	0-0	10	3	0	2	5
Zachiah Clark	G	10	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Zion Sensley	G	20	2-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	1	4
Evans Kipruto	C	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Koat Keat Tong	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Simcoe	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Green Bay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hall	F	35	9-11	5-7	2-3	5	0	1	0	25
Preston Ruedinger	G	38	2-4	2-3	2-2	3	13	0	0	8
Ramel Bethea	F	17	1-1	0-0	4-6	0	0	1	1	6
Mac Wrecke	G	14	2-3	1-1	1-4	1	0	1	0	6
Keegan Van Kauwenberg	G	10	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
LeBron Thomas	G	22	1-2	0-0	3-6	3	0	1	0	5
Caden Wilkins	F	22	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Justin Allen	G	21	2-9	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
C.J. O'Hara	G	21	1-4	0-0	0-2	1	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

56.6Possessions56.6

113.1Offensive Efficiency118.4

118.4Defensive Efficiency113.1

-5.3Net Efficiency5.3

64.1%Effective FG%64.0%

64.9%True Shooting %62.1%

19.9%Turnover Rate12.1%

15.2%Free Throw Rate53.5%

41.3%3-Point Rate48.8%

1.09Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

Green Bay won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 56.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.