Eastern Kentucky

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.3%Eastern Kentucky

76.7%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -329

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Kentucky 72

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 81

Team Comparison

Eastern KentuckyMetricJacksonville State

45.1MMH Power Index51.2

113.3Offensive Efficiency108.2

115.5Defensive Efficiency101.8

-2.2Net Efficiency6.4

-1.1Strength of Schedule-2.3

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

70.9Tempo67.2

52.9%Effective FG%51.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

31.7%Free Throw Rate44.5%

-1.6Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–45.1), defensive efficiency (101.8–115.5), net efficiency (6.4–-2.2), recent form (-0.3–-6.7).

Eastern Kentucky COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–108.2), strength of schedule (-1.1–-2.3), shooting efficiency (52.9–51.0).

Final

Eastern Kentucky

62—59

Jacksonville State

Eastern Kentucky by 3 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern KentuckyTEAM STATJacksonville State

21-56FG18-51

38.0%FG%35.0%

11-313PT4-18

35.0%3PT%22.0%

9-10FT19-25

90.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists9

17Turnovers10

3Steals5

4Blocks1

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Eastern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Turner Buttry	G	34	5-12	5-11	4-4	2	3	0	0	19
Austin Ball	F	32	5-12	2-7	0-0	6	0	0	0	12
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	31	4-8	2-5	2-3	3	2	0	0	12
Montavious Myrick	F	35	3-12	0-1	3-3	13	2	1	1	9
Yvens Paul	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Jackson Holt	G	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
MJ Williams	G	10	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	3
Asa White	C	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	3	0
Jayden Harris	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	30	5-16	0-4	6-7	7	2	1	0	16
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	26	4-7	3-6	2-3	1	0	1	0	13
Jacoby Hill	G	30	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	0	1	0	7
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	22	2-5	0-0	3-3	4	0	0	0	7
AC Bryant	G	29	2-3	0-1	2-4	2	2	1	0	6
Iaroslav Niagu	F	24	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	4	0	1	5
Jaye Nash	G	16	1-8	0-3	2-2	2	1	1	0	4
Aitor Anabitarte	F	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Jamar Franklin	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Thomas Tut	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

97.8Offensive Efficiency93.1

93.1Defensive Efficiency97.8

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

47.3%Effective FG%39.2%

51.0%True Shooting %46.9%

26.3%Turnover Rate16.2%

17.9%Free Throw Rate49.0%

55.4%3-Point Rate35.3%

0.65Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Eastern Kentucky won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.