Chattanooga

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Chattanooga

59.8%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL160.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -149

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChattanooga 79

Projected Total160.6

Projected ScoreBellarmine 82

Team Comparison

ChattanoogaMetricBellarmine

45.9MMH Power Index44.9

112.7Offensive Efficiency119.6

110.5Defensive Efficiency122.1

2.2Net Efficiency-2.5

-4.4Strength of Schedule-2.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

68.1Tempo66.9

55.1%Effective FG%60.0%

14.1%Turnover Rate15.3%

23.5%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

29.2%Free Throw Rate35.3%

1.4Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–44.9), defensive efficiency (110.5–122.1), net efficiency (2.2–-2.5), ball security (14.1–15.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–112.7), strength of schedule (-2.8–-4.4), recent form (0.3–-0.1).

Final

Chattanooga

64—79

Bellarmine

Bellarmine by 15 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ChattanoogaTEAM STATBellarmine

21-64FG25-53

33.0%FG%47.0%

10-463PT10-26

22.0%3PT%38.0%

12-15FT19-22

80.0%FT%86.0%

33Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists16

7Turnovers12

10Steals6

2Blocks—

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Frison	G	38	8-17	2-8	2-3	3	4	1	0	20
Brennan Watkins	G	38	6-12	6-12	2-3	5	0	3	0	20
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	22	2-9	1-8	2-2	2	0	2	0	7
Billy Smith	G	35	2-15	0-10	2-2	6	3	2	0	6
Jikari Johnson	G	7	1-1	1-1	2-3	1	0	0	0	5
Parker Robison	G	16	1-4	0-2	2-2	4	0	2	0	4
Collin Mulholland	F	25	1-6	0-5	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Josh Bowman	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Latif Diouf	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Houston Holland	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Makai Richards	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jack Karasinski	F	35	7-13	2-6	4-5	12	1	1	20
Brian Waddell	F	32	6-10	0-1	3-4	8	2	1	15
Kenyon Goodin	G	33	3-4	3-4	4-4	3	0	0	13
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	24	3-9	1-3	4-5	2	2	1	11
Darrius Bolden	G	24	2-5	1-2	2-2	6	7	1	7
Donovan Hunter	F	22	1-5	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	5
Sam Donald	F	21	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	5
Myles Watkins	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

94.4Offensive Efficiency116.5

116.5Defensive Efficiency94.4

-22.1Net Efficiency22.1

40.6%Effective FG%56.6%

45.0%True Shooting %62.3%

10.4%Turnover Rate17.5%

23.4%Free Throw Rate41.5%

71.9%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Bellarmine won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.