Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.2%Alabama State

95.8%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -20.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -2281

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 63

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreCincinnati 83

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricCincinnati

38MMH Power Index61.5

101.7Offensive Efficiency105.3

107.4Defensive Efficiency97.3

-5.7Net Efficiency8.0

-6.2Strength of Schedule5.1

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

71.9Tempo69.4

48.2%Effective FG%50.6%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

35.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-4.1Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–38.0), offensive efficiency (105.3–101.7), defensive efficiency (97.3–107.4), net efficiency (8.0–-5.7).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (32.6–30.6), free throw rate (35.8–30.7).

Final

Alabama State

51—88

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 37 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATCincinnati

20-69FG33-67

29.0%FG%49.0%

4-203PT8-35

20.0%3PT%23.0%

7-12FT14-20

58.0%FT%70.0%

40Rebounds45

17Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists25

11Turnovers7

2Steals6

—Blocks7

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Micah Simpson	G	36	5-21	2-8	1-2	7	1	0	13
Asjon Anderson	G	21	4-13	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	9
Damarien Yates	G	20	3-8	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	7
Cameron Palesse	G	33	2-6	0-1	2-2	6	3	0	6
Jerquarius Stanback	F	26	2-6	0-1	2-3	7	0	1	6
Tyler Byrd	G	29	2-7	0-1	1-2	4	2	0	5
R'Chaun King	F	14	1-4	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	3
Tyler Mason	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	2
Kevin Alabi	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0
Mario Andrews	C	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Baba Miller	F	27	11-12	1-2	3-4	14	1	1	1	26
Jizzle James	G	20	6-9	3-5	1-1	4	2	1	0	16
Shon Abaev	G	23	3-11	1-7	6-10	6	5	0	0	13
Moustapha Thiam	C	24	4-6	0-1	1-1	9	1	0	4	9
Day Day Thomas	G	20	3-6	1-2	2-2	1	3	0	0	9
Halvine Dzellat	C	15	3-3	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	0	7
Jalen Celestine	G	23	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	2	3
Kerr Kriisa	G	22	1-9	1-9	0-0	2	7	1	0	3
Keyshuan Tillery	G	10	1-5	0-4	0-0	1	4	0	0	2
Jordi Rodriguez	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Sencire Harris	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grant Darbyshire	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

73.3Offensive Efficiency126.4

126.4Defensive Efficiency73.3

-53.2Net Efficiency53.2

31.9%Effective FG%55.2%

34.1%True Shooting %57.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate9.9%

17.4%Free Throw Rate29.9%

29.0%3-Point Rate52.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover3.57

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 37 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.