Oakland

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%Oakland

65.8%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL167.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -192

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOakland 81

Projected Total167.5

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 87

Team Comparison

OaklandMetricNorthern Kentucky

52.6MMH Power Index53.9

115.7Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.5Defensive Efficiency107.1

1.2Net Efficiency7.8

2.1Strength of Schedule-2.9

-1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

71.4Tempo72.3

53.3%Effective FG%54.5%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.3%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

38.5%Free Throw Rate37.1%

0.9Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–52.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–114.5), net efficiency (7.8–1.2), recent form (4.6–-1.4).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.7–114.9), strength of schedule (2.1–-2.9), ball security (14.7–16.3).

Final

Oakland

82—77

Northern Kentucky

Oakland by 5 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OaklandTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

28-61FG31-70

46.0%FG%44.0%

6-183PT6-26

33.0%3PT%23.0%

20-29FT9-12

69.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists19

10Turnovers10

7Steals5

—Blocks9

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Michael Houge	F	31	7-14	0-0	4-4	8	1	0	18
Brody Robinson	G	37	3-8	2-6	8-8	4	6	1	16
Isaac Garrett	F	35	6-13	0-2	3-7	11	5	0	15
Ziare Wells	G	31	4-8	1-1	1-2	3	2	1	10
Brett White II	G	27	4-11	2-8	0-0	3	1	1	10
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	22	2-4	0-0	2-3	5	2	0	6
Khoi Thurmon	G	10	2-2	1-1	0-3	1	0	4	5
Warren Marshall IV	G	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kael Robinson	F	32	10-16	2-7	0-0	7	1	2	1	22
LJ Wells	F	34	8-15	0-2	2-4	9	6	0	1	18
Tae Dozier	G	29	5-7	1-2	0-1	7	5	1	5	11
Donovan Oday	G	26	2-8	1-4	6-6	1	0	2	1	11
Ethan Elliott	G	32	4-7	1-2	1-1	1	5	0	1	10
Dan Gherezgher	G	31	1-14	1-9	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
Ryan Tolliver	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Bryce Darbyshire	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

112.6Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.6

6.9Net Efficiency-6.9

50.8%Effective FG%48.6%

54.8%True Shooting %50.9%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.8%

47.5%Free Throw Rate17.1%

29.5%3-Point Rate37.1%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Oakland won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.