Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Air Force

99.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -31.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -9900

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 57

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 88

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricSan Diego State

23MMH Power Index60.1

91.3Offensive Efficiency110.3

118.5Defensive Efficiency99.3

-27.2Net Efficiency11.0

6.2Strength of Schedule3.8

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

67.4Tempo70.8

49.0%Effective FG%53.2%

21.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

35.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-18.3Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–23.0), offensive efficiency (110.3–91.3), defensive efficiency (99.3–118.5), net efficiency (11.0–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–3.8).

Final

Air Force

58—81

San Diego State

San Diego State by 23 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATSan Diego State

19-46FG31-61

41.0%FG%51.0%

8-243PT10-22

33.0%3PT%45.0%

12-16FT9-13

75.0%FT%69.0%

26Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists27

15Turnovers11

5Steals8

4Blocks5

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Sanders	G	30	3-11	2-6	5-6	4	4	0	0	13
Eli Robinson	F	29	5-7	1-1	0-0	6	1	1	1	11
Lucas Hobin	F	23	3-8	3-8	2-2	0	0	0	0	11
A.J. Patterson	G	11	1-1	0-0	4-6	2	1	2	0	6
Kolby Gilles	F	28	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Wesley Celichowski	C	26	1-5	1-4	1-2	1	2	0	1	4
Caleb Walker	F	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Ethan Greenberg	G	5	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Justin Hinds	G	33	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	1	2
Josh Gatete	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Davis	G	27	6-11	4-6	3-4	2	6	1	0	19
Miles Heide	F	22	5-7	1-2	1-2	8	2	0	1	12
Magoon Gwath	F	21	5-7	0-0	2-3	4	1	0	2	12
Pharaoh Compton	F	17	5-5	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	1	11
Taj DeGourville	G	14	3-3	3-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	9
Elzie Harrington	G	21	2-7	0-1	2-2	1	6	1	1	6
Sean Newman Jr.	G	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	5	0	0	5
Jeremiah Oden	F	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	2	2	0	3
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	23	1-8	0-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Miles Byrd	G	18	1-8	0-2	0-0	5	1	3	0	2
Tae Simmons	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Thokbor Majak	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Raymar Gonzales	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cam Lawin	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

90.8Offensive Efficiency126.8

126.8Defensive Efficiency90.8

-36.0Net Efficiency36.0

50.0%Effective FG%59.0%

54.1%True Shooting %60.3%

24.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.8%Free Throw Rate21.3%

52.2%3-Point Rate36.1%

0.60Assist / Turnover2.45

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.