Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.2%Illinois

17.8%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -462

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 81

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreIndiana 72

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricIndiana

76.5MMH Power Index58.2

125.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

103.3Defensive Efficiency107.1

21.7Net Efficiency8.9

6.7Strength of Schedule5.2

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

66.5Tempo67.4

54.8%Effective FG%56.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.1%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

33.8%Free Throw Rate35.8%

14.5Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–58.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–116.0), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.1), net efficiency (21.7–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.0–54.8), free throw rate (35.8–33.8).

Final

Illinois

94—69

Indiana

Illinois by 25 • 77.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATIndiana

30-75FG25-65

40.0%FG%38.0%

11-323PT4-18

34.0%3PT%22.0%

23-26FT15-18

88.0%FT%83.0%

51Rebounds37

16Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists14

6Turnovers11

5Steals1

1Blocks3

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylan Boswell	G	25	6-15	2-6	8-8	7	2	3	0	22
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	27	7-13	3-7	4-5	3	5	0	0	21
Tomislav Ivisic	C	24	6-12	3-6	2-2	11	4	0	1	17
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	22	3-8	2-5	4-4	2	0	0	0	12
Ben Humrichous	F	25	3-6	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	0	7
Tre White	G	23	2-9	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	0	5
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	17	1-3	0-0	3-3	10	0	0	0	5
Will Riley	Forward	16	2-5	0-2	1-2	2	2	0	0	5
Jake Davis	F	18	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Carey Booth	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Oumar Ballo	Center	34	7-11	0-0	2-4	15	1	0	1	16
Luke Goode	Forward	32	5-9	1-4	2-2	1	1	0	0	13
Myles Rice	G	26	4-10	0-0	4-4	3	2	0	0	12
Trey Galloway	Guard	31	3-11	2-7	2-2	2	5	1	0	10
Anthony Leal	Guard	16	1-3	1-2	3-4	3	2	0	0	6
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	25	1-10	0-3	2-2	6	0	0	1	4
Bryson Tucker	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Kanaan Carlyle	G	15	1-6	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Langdon Hatton	Center	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Jakai Newton	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.0Possessions77.0

122.1Offensive Efficiency89.6

89.6Defensive Efficiency122.1

32.5Net Efficiency-32.5

47.3%Effective FG%41.5%

53.8%True Shooting %46.9%

7.8%Turnover Rate14.4%

34.7%Free Throw Rate27.7%

42.7%3-Point Rate27.7%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Illinois won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 77.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.