Morgan State

14-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%Morgan State

93.5%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -17.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -1438

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorgan State 69

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreCalifornia 86

Team Comparison

Morgan StateMetricCalifornia

37.2MMH Power Index56.5

105.1Offensive Efficiency111.8

109.3Defensive Efficiency104.8

-4.2Net Efficiency7.0

-9.5Strength of Schedule2.8

2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

71.6Tempo69.9

48.6%Effective FG%52.6%

17.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

42.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-3.0Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–37.2), offensive efficiency (111.8–105.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–109.3), net efficiency (7.0–-4.2).

Morgan State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.1–1.8), offensive rebounding (31.3–26.6), free throw rate (42.9–36.8).

Final

Morgan State

50—97

California

California by 47 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morgan StateTEAM STATCalifornia

19-53FG32-54

36.0%FG%59.0%

1-173PT11-20

6.0%3PT%55.0%

11-19FT22-23

58.0%FT%96.0%

24Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists19

14Turnovers9

3Steals12

3Blocks4

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Oliver	C	22	6-9	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	14
Rob Lawson	G	37	3-12	0-3	5-8	4	8	1	0	11
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	21	2-7	0-3	4-4	2	1	0	1	8
Christian Meeks	G	32	2-6	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	4
Eugene Alvin	F	26	2-7	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Matar Wade	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	4
Manok Lual	F	13	1-2	0-1	1-5	1	0	0	0	3
Dallas James	C	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Walter Peggs Jr.	G	16	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
David Bumpass	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Marland Harris	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Breon Barnett	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Bell	F	37	8-11	4-6	8-8	6	2	1	3	28
John Camden	F	32	8-12	5-7	2-2	8	4	0	0	23
Semetri Carr	G	36	5-10	0-3	7-7	6	9	3	0	17
Lee Dort	F	23	5-6	0-0	2-2	7	0	2	0	12
Dai Dai Ames	G	26	3-9	1-3	1-2	1	0	2	0	8
Milos Ilic	C	11	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Nolan Dorsey	G	21	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	3	3	0	3
Mantas Kocanas	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Luke Butler	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
BJ Fisher	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Stephon Marbury II	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

71.9Offensive Efficiency139.6

139.6Defensive Efficiency71.9

-67.6Net Efficiency67.6

36.8%Effective FG%69.4%

40.3%True Shooting %74.7%

20.0%Turnover Rate13.1%

35.8%Free Throw Rate42.6%

32.1%3-Point Rate37.0%

0.79Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

California won by 47 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.