Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.9%Florida Gulf Coast

81.1%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -429

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 75

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreUCF 85

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricUCF

48.6MMH Power Index57.1

110.5Offensive Efficiency113.3

109.2Defensive Efficiency110.0

1.3Net Efficiency3.3

-1.8Strength of Schedule6.6

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

70.0Tempo71.2

52.1%Effective FG%53.0%

15.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

29.9%Free Throw Rate31.1%

0.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–48.6), offensive efficiency (113.3–110.5), net efficiency (3.3–1.3), strength of schedule (6.6–-1.8).

Florida Gulf Coast COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.2–110.0), recent form (0.7–-3.8), ball security (15.7–16.0).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

80—102

UCF

UCF by 22 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATUCF

31-61FG38-73

51.0%FG%52.0%

15-273PT19-35

56.0%3PT%54.0%

3-5FT7-12

60.0%FT%58.0%

25Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists18

15Turnovers10

5Steals11

2Blocks4

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ellerbee	G	30	9-15	2-5	1-1	2	3	1	0	21
J.R. Konieczny	F	32	6-11	4-7	1-2	4	1	1	1	17
Rory Stewart	F	25	6-10	5-9	0-0	2	0	0	0	17
Darren Williams	G	15	3-5	3-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Michael Duax	F	22	2-5	0-0	0-0	7	3	3	0	4
Rahmir Barno	G	29	1-5	0-0	1-2	2	4	0	1	3
Gabe Tanner	F	16	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Tristen Guillouette	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Isaiah Malone	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jack Reddick	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Matt McCarthy	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Burks	F	29	7-14	6-11	3-4	3	2	1	1	23
Themus Fulks	G	30	9-15	3-3	0-0	2	5	2	0	21
Devan Cambridge	F	19	6-7	4-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	16
Jamichael Stillwell	F	27	6-12	0-2	2-6	13	1	0	0	14
Chris Johnson	G	18	4-7	2-4	2-2	2	5	1	0	12
George Beale Jr.	G	8	3-3	3-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
John Bol	C	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	9	0	1	3	4
Carmelo Pacheco	G	15	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	3	2	0	3
Riley Kugel	G	22	0-6	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Jeremy Foumena	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kris Parker	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elijah Hulsewe	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Zach Johnson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Poohpha Warakulnukroh	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency141.5

141.5Defensive Efficiency111.0

-30.5Net Efficiency30.5

63.1%Effective FG%65.1%

63.1%True Shooting %64.8%

20.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

8.2%Free Throw Rate16.4%

44.3%3-Point Rate47.9%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

UCF won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.