Liberty

26-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.1%Liberty

76.9%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -333

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLiberty 70

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreDayton 77

Team Comparison

LibertyMetricDayton

53.7MMH Power Index59.9

119.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.0Defensive Efficiency101.5

11.0Net Efficiency7.0

-2.0Strength of Schedule5.7

-4.2Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

65.3Tempo68.3

60.5%Effective FG%52.0%

13.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

19.0%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

32.1%Free Throw Rate47.6%

7.2Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–53.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–108.0), strength of schedule (5.7–-2.0), recent form (6.4–-4.2).

Liberty COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.0–108.5), net efficiency (11.0–7.0), shooting efficiency (60.5–52.0).

Final

Liberty

64—61

Dayton

Liberty by 3 • 59.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LibertyTEAM STATDayton

26-54FG20-53

48.0%FG%38.0%

8-183PT9-27

44.0%3PT%33.0%

4-9FT12-15

44.0%FT%80.0%

28Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists11

6Turnovers10

7Steals3

4Blocks3

15Fouls9

Player Box Score

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Metheny	G	35	7-14	2-5	0-1	2	2	0	0	16
Brett Decker Jr.	G	27	6-12	3-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	15
Colin Porter	G	38	5-8	3-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	13
Zach Cleveland	F	37	5-9	0-0	2-6	16	7	2	3	12
JJ Harper	G	34	1-5	0-1	2-2	1	2	3	1	4
Josh Smith	F	14	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Zander Carter	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Zander Yates	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amaël L'Etang	F	28	7-15	4-8	1-2	5	1	0	1	19
Javon Bennett	G	34	5-14	3-8	4-4	5	1	1	0	17
Keonte Jones	G	33	3-7	0-1	3-5	15	4	2	0	9
Jordan Derkack	G	20	1-4	0-2	4-4	2	4	0	0	6
Bryce Heard	G	20	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jacob Conner	F	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
Sean Pouedet	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	25	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jaiun Simon	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Malcolm Thomas	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.7Possessions59.7

107.2Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency107.2

5.0Net Efficiency-5.0

55.6%Effective FG%46.2%

54.9%True Shooting %50.7%

10.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

16.7%Free Throw Rate28.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate50.9%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Liberty won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 59.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.