Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.5%Buffalo

43.5%Western Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -130

Western Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 79

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 78

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricWestern Michigan

49.7MMH Power Index42.8

114.9Offensive Efficiency106.9

112.2Defensive Efficiency113.6

2.7Net Efficiency-6.7

0.0Strength of Schedule2.0

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

67.9Tempo69.9

56.1%Effective FG%50.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

40.4%Free Throw Rate34.6%

1.8Average Margin-4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–42.8), offensive efficiency (114.9–106.9), defensive efficiency (112.2–113.6), net efficiency (2.7–-6.7).

Western Michigan COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–0.0), offensive rebounding (31.0–27.6).

Final

Buffalo

88—71

Western Michigan

Buffalo by 17 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATWestern Michigan

29-59FG26-66

49.0%FG%39.0%

12-323PT10-33

38.0%3PT%30.0%

18-24FT9-12

75.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists18

4Turnovers7

5Steals2

4Blocks4

11Fouls18

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Freitag	G	35	6-16	2-8	6-7	1	6	2	1	20
Ryan Sabol	G	36	5-13	5-12	4-4	5	4	0	0	19
Tim Oboh	C	25	6-7	0-0	3-6	13	0	1	2	15
Ezra McKenna	F	15	5-7	3-4	2-2	1	0	1	1	15
Angelo Brizzi	G	28	3-8	2-5	2-2	3	0	1	0	10
Mikhail Pocknett	F	16	3-4	0-0	0-1	7	0	0	0	6
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	21	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	3	0	0	3
Noah Batchelor	G	24	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Griffith	G	39	7-17	4-10	0-0	3	4	1	0	18
Hudson Ward	F	23	5-7	3-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	13
Jayden Brewer	G	17	4-10	0-1	4-5	7	1	0	0	12
EJ Ryans	G	36	3-10	1-6	1-1	1	6	0	0	8
Michael Sulaka	F	14	3-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Brady Swartz	G	16	1-7	1-6	1-2	2	0	0	0	4
Declan Peterson	C	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Trey Lewis	G	20	1-5	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	2	3
Carson Vis	G	8	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	1	1	0	1
Max Burton	F	22	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

134.1Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency134.1

25.9Net Efficiency-25.9

59.3%Effective FG%47.0%

62.5%True Shooting %49.5%

6.2%Turnover Rate10.5%

40.7%Free Throw Rate18.2%

54.2%3-Point Rate50.0%

3.75Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.