Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%Colorado State

84.0%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -525

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreUtah State 82

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricUtah State

55.4MMH Power Index65.7

117.1Offensive Efficiency119.7

109.9Defensive Efficiency103.1

7.2Net Efficiency16.6

0.4Strength of Schedule3.5

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

64.7Tempo68.6

58.6%Effective FG%56.9%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

41.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

4.6Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–55.4), offensive efficiency (119.7–117.1), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.9), net efficiency (16.6–7.2).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.3–0.3), shooting efficiency (58.6–56.9), free throw rate (41.2–39.1).

Final

Colorado State

58—100

Utah State

Utah State by 42 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATUtah State

18-49FG37-58

37.0%FG%64.0%

7-233PT12-21

30.0%3PT%57.0%

15-19FT14-24

79.0%FT%58.0%

20Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds16

9Assists22

15Turnovers10

5Steals7

2Blocks2

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carey Booth	F	20	4-5	1-2	5-6	2	0	0	1	14
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	25	4-12	3-9	0-0	1	1	0	0	11
Jase Butler	G	29	2-4	1-2	3-5	3	1	1	0	8
Jevin Muniz	G	31	3-8	0-2	1-1	2	4	2	1	7
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	17	2-5	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	7
Josh Pascarelli	G	33	2-10	2-7	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Darnez Slater	G	8	1-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Jojo McIver	G	17	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Nikola Djapa	C	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Kyle Jorgensen	F	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Falslev	G	22	7-9	2-3	2-3	4	2	0	1	18
Adlan Elamin	F	25	6-9	1-3	2-2	8	0	0	1	15
MJ Collins Jr.	G	22	5-9	3-5	2-3	0	1	0	0	15
Drake Allen	G	24	4-6	3-4	1-2	2	6	2	0	12
Kolby King	G	30	3-5	0-1	4-4	9	4	2	0	10
Karson Templin	F	15	3-5	2-2	2-4	3	0	1	0	10
Garry Clark	F	21	4-5	0-0	0-3	6	1	0	0	8
Elijah Perryman	G	18	2-4	0-1	1-2	1	5	1	0	5
Zach Keller	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	4
Tucker Anderson	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	3
Luke Kearney	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Jordy Barnes	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

91.1Offensive Efficiency157.0

157.0Defensive Efficiency91.1

-65.9Net Efficiency65.9

43.9%Effective FG%74.1%

50.0%True Shooting %72.0%

23.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

38.8%Free Throw Rate41.4%

46.9%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.60Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Utah State won by 42 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.