Howard

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%Howard

68.3%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -215

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHoward 71

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 76

Team Comparison

HowardMetricUNC Wilmington

56.9MMH Power Index59.2

110.8Offensive Efficiency114.1

98.5Defensive Efficiency101.7

12.3Net Efficiency12.4

-7.1Strength of Schedule-1.5

21.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

70.2Tempo66.9

52.1%Effective FG%51.1%

18.8%Turnover Rate14.8%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

45.5%Free Throw Rate41.7%

8.6Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Howard HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHoward holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (98.5–101.7), recent form (21.5–5.5), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.1), offensive rebounding (37.0–35.8).

UNC Wilmington COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.2–56.9), offensive efficiency (114.1–110.8), net efficiency (12.4–12.3).

Final

Howard

67—66

UNC Wilmington

Howard by 1 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HowardTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

25-59FG24-61

42.0%FG%39.0%

7-163PT4-20

44.0%3PT%20.0%

10-12FT14-20

83.0%FT%70.0%

37Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists12

14Turnovers13

9Steals5

4Blocks4

16Fouls9

Player Box Score

Howard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Harris	G	38	6-15	2-3	4-4	11	2	3	1	18
Cam Gillus	G	37	6-11	3-5	1-2	5	0	1	0	16
Cedric Taylor III	G	38	6-15	2-6	1-2	11	6	2	2	15
Ose Okojie	G	37	6-12	0-2	2-2	6	1	1	0	14
Ed Holland III	G	23	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	1	4
Danas Kazakevicius	C	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Brown	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Travelle Bryson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian May	G	35	4-12	1-6	4-5	8	6	0	0	13
Patrick Wessler	F	28	4-10	0-0	5-6	14	0	1	3	13
Gavin Walsh	F	25	5-9	1-2	0-3	2	1	1	0	11
Nolan Hodge	G	33	4-10	1-5	0-0	6	0	0	1	9
Noah Ross	G	29	4-11	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	9
Madison Durr	G	14	2-5	0-2	4-4	0	0	0	0	8
Greedy Williams	G	33	1-4	0-1	1-2	3	4	1	0	3
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency98.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency99.9

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

48.3%Effective FG%42.6%

51.8%True Shooting %46.8%

21.0%Turnover Rate19.3%

20.3%Free Throw Rate32.8%

27.1%3-Point Rate32.8%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Howard won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.