Memphis

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.2%Memphis

53.8%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMississippi State -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMississippi State -116

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMemphis 79

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreMississippi State 80

Team Comparison

MemphisMetricMississippi State

47.8MMH Power Index44.6

104.6Offensive Efficiency107.4

106.5Defensive Efficiency113.2

-1.9Net Efficiency-5.8

4.4Strength of Schedule5.0

-11.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

71.9Tempo72.3

48.7%Effective FG%51.6%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.1%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

35.1%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-1.4Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Memphis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMemphis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.8–44.6), defensive efficiency (106.5–113.2), net efficiency (-1.9–-5.8), recent form (-11.1–-17.5).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.4–104.6), strength of schedule (5.0–4.4), shooting efficiency (51.6–48.7).

Final

Memphis

66—71

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 5 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MemphisTEAM STATMississippi State

23-62FG24-54

37.0%FG%44.0%

9-313PT6-21

29.0%3PT%29.0%

11-16FT17-25

69.0%FT%68.0%

43Rebounds35

17Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists11

18Turnovers15

9Steals9

3Blocks2

21Fouls12

Player Box Score

Memphis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Curtis Givens III	G	23	6-10	3-5	3-6	1	2	0	0	18
Aaron Bradshaw	F	29	5-11	0-4	2-2	7	2	0	2	12
Ashton Hardaway	F	27	4-9	3-7	0-0	4	0	0	1	11
Dug McDaniel	G	32	3-13	1-4	1-2	6	3	4	0	8
Hasan Abdul Hakim	G	30	1-6	0-3	4-4	5	2	2	0	6
Sincere Parker	G	8	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Julius Thedford	G	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	8	1	2	0	3
Tariq Ingraham	F	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Quante Berry	G	14	0-2	0-2	1-2	3	1	1	0	1
Thierno Sylla	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zach Davis	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Simon Majok	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Epps	G	27	7-12	4-9	1-2	1	0	1	1	19
Josh Hubbard	G	37	4-13	2-7	7-8	1	3	3	0	17
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	32	4-7	0-2	1-2	5	4	2	0	9
Achor Achor	F	10	3-6	0-0	2-5	5	0	0	0	8
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	20	1-6	0-2	4-4	3	1	1	0	6
Quincy Ballard	C	23	2-4	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	0	5
Sergej Macura	F	26	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	21	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	1	2	1	3
King Grace	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

93.9Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency93.9

-7.1Net Efficiency7.1

44.4%Effective FG%50.0%

47.4%True Shooting %53.9%

25.5%Turnover Rate21.5%

25.8%Free Throw Rate46.3%

50.0%3-Point Rate38.9%

0.61Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.