Marshall

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.2%Marshall

67.8%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -211

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarshall 77

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreTroy 83

Team Comparison

MarshallMetricTroy

52MMH Power Index54.1

114.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

110.3Defensive Efficiency103.9

4.4Net Efficiency8.7

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.2

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

70.7Tempo70.4

55.2%Effective FG%52.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate17.1%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

29.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

3.1Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–52.0), defensive efficiency (103.9–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–4.4), recent form (2.0–-4.9).

Marshall COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–112.6), strength of schedule (0.9–-2.2), shooting efficiency (55.2–52.1).

Final

Marshall

63—70

Troy

Troy by 7 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarshallTEAM STATTroy

23-65FG21-60

35.0%FG%35.0%

8-333PT9-28

24.0%3PT%32.0%

9-14FT19-23

64.0%FT%83.0%

45Rebounds42

17Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists11

14Turnovers13

4Steals8

4Blocks2

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Otshudi	G	37	8-19	3-5	3-4	2	4	1	0	22
Jalen Speer	G	37	4-13	2-9	3-4	3	4	0	0	13
Wyatt Fricks	F	25	5-14	0-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Erich Harding	F	24	2-3	0-0	3-6	9	2	0	2	7
Bryce Slay	G	9	2-6	2-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Wilson Dubinsky	G	24	1-3	1-3	0-0	8	2	1	0	3
Matt Van Komen	C	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	2	2
Caleb Hollenbeck	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Drew Fuquay	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Landen Joseph	G	6	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Victor Valdes	F	32	6-14	0-3	6-9	4	6	1	1	18
Theo Seng	F	32	5-13	3-6	5-6	6	0	1	0	18
Thomas Dowd	F	37	5-13	3-7	0-0	9	1	2	1	13
Cooper Campbell	G	36	2-11	1-7	4-4	3	4	2	0	9
Cobi Campbell	G	34	2-6	1-4	0-0	1	0	2	0	5
Austin Cross	G	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Kerrington Kiel	F	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	2
Jerrell Bellamy	C	5	0-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

90.3Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency90.3

-10.0Net Efficiency10.0

41.5%Effective FG%42.5%

44.0%True Shooting %49.3%

20.4%Turnover Rate18.3%

21.5%Free Throw Rate38.3%

50.8%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Troy won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.