Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.8%Central Michigan

24.2%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -313

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 78

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 73

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricNorthern Illinois

44MMH Power Index29.2

105.9Offensive Efficiency99.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

-5.1Net Efficiency-11.9

-0.5Strength of Schedule-2.1

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

69.3Tempo69.7

52.6%Effective FG%48.5%

18.3%Turnover Rate21.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

32.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-3.5Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–29.2), offensive efficiency (105.9–99.7), defensive efficiency (111.0–111.6), net efficiency (-5.1–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–29.6), free throw rate (39.6–32.9).

Final

Central Michigan

73—74

Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois by 1 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

30-60FG22-46

50.0%FG%48.0%

6-213PT5-19

29.0%3PT%26.0%

7-13FT25-34

54.0%FT%74.0%

30Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds12

20Assists12

13Turnovers16

8Steals7

4Blocks—

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nathan Claerbaut	C	32	8-14	0-0	2-3	7	0	1	1	18
Nick Mullen	F	28	7-12	2-6	2-2	7	3	1	1	18
Logan McIntire	G	27	5-10	4-7	0-0	2	3	2	1	14
Phat Phat Brooks	G	29	3-6	0-0	3-4	1	7	0	1	9
Keenan Garner	F	19	4-5	0-1	0-3	7	1	0	0	8
Tamario Adley	G	22	3-6	0-2	0-0	2	2	4	0	6
Jaxson Whitaker	G	23	0-4	0-4	0-1	0	2	0	0	0
Jalen Kampen	G	14	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Will Ashford	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dylan Ducommun	G	32	4-7	2-4	8-10	2	4	2	18
Gustav Winther	F	34	3-7	0-1	8-10	11	0	0	14
Taj Walters	G	29	5-8	1-2	2-2	5	1	0	13
Makhai Valentine	G	36	3-8	1-6	3-5	5	0	0	10
Gianni Cobb	G	28	3-8	0-2	1-2	3	4	2	7
Daemar Kelly	G	21	1-4	1-3	3-5	2	1	2	6
Hassan Washington	F	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	4
Ladji Kante	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2
Jao Ituka	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

110.3Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

55.0%Effective FG%53.3%

55.2%True Shooting %59.5%

19.6%Turnover Rate24.2%

21.7%Free Throw Rate73.9%

35.0%3-Point Rate41.3%

1.54Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Northern Illinois won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.