Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.1%Jacksonville State

76.9%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -333

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 68

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 76

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricEast Tennessee State

51.2MMH Power Index57.4

108.2Offensive Efficiency115.1

101.8Defensive Efficiency102.8

6.4Net Efficiency12.3

-2.3Strength of Schedule-1.6

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

67.2Tempo67.4

51.0%Effective FG%55.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

44.5%Free Throw Rate35.0%

4.3Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–51.2), offensive efficiency (115.1–108.2), net efficiency (12.3–6.4), strength of schedule (-1.6–-2.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–102.8), offensive rebounding (31.3–28.8), free throw rate (44.5–35.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

81—75

East Tennessee State

Jacksonville State by 6 • 61.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

26-49FG22-41

53.0%FG%54.0%

11-223PT8-15

50.0%3PT%53.0%

18-27FT23-29

67.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds20

11Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists11

12Turnovers11

6Steals7

1Blocks6

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AC Bryant	G	33	10-16	6-10	3-4	1	0	1	0	29
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	30	6-12	2-2	5-8	7	3	1	0	19
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	30	5-8	0-1	7-9	8	3	0	1	17
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	25	2-6	1-4	1-1	0	1	2	0	6
Jacoby Hill	G	30	2-4	1-3	0-1	4	2	2	0	5
Jaye Nash	G	19	1-2	1-1	2-4	0	2	0	0	5
Iaroslav Niagu	F	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Aitor Anabitarte	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jamar Franklin	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Taylor II	G	35	7-10	3-4	3-3	2	1	2	0	20
Cam Morris III	F	34	4-9	0-0	9-11	4	0	2	3	17
Jaylen Smith	G	29	4-10	1-4	6-9	2	5	0	0	15
Jordan McCullum	F	31	2-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	2	6
Maki Johnson	G	20	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Blake Barkley	F	19	1-4	0-1	3-4	1	2	0	1	5
Allen Strothers	G	25	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	3
Isaiah Sutherland	F	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

61.8Possessions61.8

131.1Offensive Efficiency121.4

121.4Defensive Efficiency131.1

9.7Net Efficiency-9.7

64.3%Effective FG%63.4%

65.5%True Shooting %68.5%

19.1%Turnover Rate18.1%

55.1%Free Throw Rate70.7%

44.9%3-Point Rate36.6%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.