Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Northwestern

55.2%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -123

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 75

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreButler 78

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricButler

55.4MMH Power Index52.7

111.6Offensive Efficiency111.7

109.8Defensive Efficiency109.1

1.8Net Efficiency2.6

5.6Strength of Schedule3.1

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

65.6Tempo71.1

51.9%Effective FG%51.2%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

34.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

1.2Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.7–111.6), defensive efficiency (109.1–109.8), net efficiency (2.6–1.8), offensive rebounding (34.4–28.2).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (55.4–52.7), strength of schedule (5.6–3.1), recent form (-2.7–-8.5).

Final

Northwestern

58—61

Butler

Butler by 3 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATButler

23-64FG22-58

36.0%FG%38.0%

4-233PT7-30

17.0%3PT%23.0%

8-9FT10-14

89.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds13

18Assists12

9Turnovers14

3Steals7

4Blocks4

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Reid	G	32	5-13	1-4	3-3	2	6	0	0	14
Tre Singleton	F	34	4-9	0-2	0-0	5	3	0	1	8
Arrinten Page	F	30	3-8	0-1	1-1	3	4	0	2	7
Max Green	G	26	3-10	1-4	0-0	6	1	2	0	7
Angelo Ciaravino	G	18	3-7	0-2	1-1	4	1	0	1	7
K.J. Windham	G	18	2-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Tyler Kropp	F	10	1-3	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Jordan Clayton	G	19	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Jake West	G	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Justin Mullins	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	36	8-14	0-2	3-5	20	2	3	2	19
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	G	22	5-9	2-5	2-2	4	1	1	0	14
Evan Haywood	G	22	3-10	2-9	3-3	2	1	0	0	11
Finley Bizjack	G	31	2-10	2-9	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Azavier Robinson	G	23	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Yame Butler	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Drayton Jones	C	25	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	2	2
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	F	14	0-3	0-1	2-4	4	1	1	0	2
Yohan Traore	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

86.6Offensive Efficiency91.0

91.0Defensive Efficiency86.6

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

39.1%Effective FG%44.0%

42.5%True Shooting %47.2%

13.2%Turnover Rate21.3%

14.1%Free Throw Rate24.1%

35.9%3-Point Rate51.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Butler won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.