Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Ohio State

62.5%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -167

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 77

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreWisconsin 82

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricWisconsin

64.5MMH Power Index64.5

118.1Offensive Efficiency118.6

108.1Defensive Efficiency108.8

10.0Net Efficiency9.8

6.4Strength of Schedule6.7

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

67.2Tempo69.9

56.9%Effective FG%54.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate12.8%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

38.3%Free Throw Rate32.5%

6.7Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (108.1–108.8), net efficiency (10.0–9.8), recent form (6.3–5.6), shooting efficiency (56.9–54.6).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–118.1), strength of schedule (6.7–6.4), ball security (12.8–15.3).

Final

Ohio State

68—70

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 2 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATWisconsin

25-59FG20-48

42.0%FG%42.0%

5-173PT5-22

29.0%3PT%23.0%

13-15FT25-28

87.0%FT%89.0%

32Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists6

11Turnovers12

7Steals2

2Blocks2

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	37	7-13	1-3	6-6	2	3	1	0	21
Devin Royal	F	28	4-10	1-3	3-3	6	2	0	0	12
John Mobley Jr.	G	30	2-8	1-3	3-4	2	1	0	0	8
Micah Parrish	Guard	31	3-13	1-5	0-0	6	1	2	0	7
Evan Mahaffey	G	15	3-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	6
Ivan Njegovan	C	11	2-3	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	5
Aaron Bradshaw	F	8	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Sean Stewart	F	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	8	2	0	1	4
Colin White	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ques Glover	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Austin Parks	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Tonje	Guard	36	3-7	1-4	10-10	4	0	1	0	17
John Blackwell	G	31	5-12	1-4	4-6	6	2	1	0	15
Steve Crowl	Forward	28	5-10	0-3	4-4	7	1	0	1	14
Kamari McGee	Guard	16	3-5	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	9
Carter Gilmore	Forward	28	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	5
Max Klesmit	Guard	30	1-5	1-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	4
Nolan Winter	F	18	0-3	0-2	4-4	6	1	0	0	4
Xavier Amos	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jack Janicki	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

100.4Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency100.4

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

46.6%Effective FG%46.9%

51.4%True Shooting %57.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.8%

25.4%Free Throw Rate58.3%

28.8%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.