Maryland

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.7%Maryland

96.3%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -22.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -2603

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMaryland 63

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreVirginia 85

Team Comparison

MarylandMetricVirginia

44.1MMH Power Index68.9

104.5Offensive Efficiency119.0

113.6Defensive Efficiency101.8

-9.1Net Efficiency17.2

5.2Strength of Schedule5.2

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

66.7Tempo67.6

48.6%Effective FG%55.0%

18.8%Turnover Rate16.0%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

38.9%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-6.1Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–44.1), offensive efficiency (119.0–104.5), defensive efficiency (101.8–113.6), net efficiency (17.2–-9.1).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.9–33.2).

Final

Maryland

72—80

Virginia

Virginia by 8 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarylandTEAM STATVirginia

22-54FG30-66

41.0%FG%45.0%

12-293PT7-20

41.0%3PT%35.0%

16-22FT13-21

73.0%FT%62.0%

41Rebounds34

17Offensive Rebounds16

12Assists18

19Turnovers8

2Steals15

4Blocks5

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Coit	G	26	4-9	3-7	4-4	3	6	0	0	15
Myles Rice	G	24	3-10	2-4	4-4	1	4	0	0	12
Elijah Saunders	F	24	4-5	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	10
Solomon Washington	F	36	2-8	0-2	5-9	12	0	0	0	9
Darius Adams	G	22	3-10	1-4	2-2	4	0	1	0	9
Andre Mills	G	23	3-6	2-4	0-1	4	1	0	1	8
Isaiah Watts	G	13	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
George Turkson Jr.	G	26	0-1	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	2	1
Collin Metcalf	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dallin Hall	G	24	8-8	1-1	3-4	3	6	3	0	20
Jacari White	G	22	4-10	3-7	4-4	2	1	3	0	15
Devin Tillis	F	22	4-4	1-1	1-4	1	1	1	0	10
Johann Grunloh	C	24	4-8	0-1	0-1	8	0	1	1	8
Ugonna Onyenso	C	17	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	7
Chance Mallory	G	24	2-9	0-2	2-2	4	6	5	1	6
Sam Lewis	G	28	2-7	1-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Thijs De Ridder	F	22	1-8	0-2	3-6	4	0	1	2	5
Malik Thomas	G	17	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

107.0Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency107.0

-11.9Net Efficiency11.9

51.9%Effective FG%50.8%

55.9%True Shooting %52.6%

28.6%Turnover Rate11.8%

40.7%Free Throw Rate31.8%

53.7%3-Point Rate30.3%

0.63Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Virginia won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.