Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.9%Sacramento State

90.1%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -15.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -910

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 68

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 84

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricCalifornia Baptist

43MMH Power Index58.3

106.1Offensive Efficiency106.5

112.0Defensive Efficiency99.0

-5.9Net Efficiency7.5

0.9Strength of Schedule1.8

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

73.2Tempo68.2

48.5%Effective FG%48.8%

14.2%Turnover Rate17.9%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

41.8%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-4.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–43.0), offensive efficiency (106.5–106.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–112.0), net efficiency (7.5–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHball security (14.2–17.9), free throw rate (41.8–37.0).

Final

Sacramento State

67—74

California Baptist

California Baptist by 7 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

26-71FG23-57

37.0%FG%40.0%

10-323PT7-18

31.0%3PT%39.0%

5-6FT21-30

83.0%FT%70.0%

40Rebounds45

17Offensive Rebounds17

8Assists12

11Turnovers13

7Steals5

3Blocks5

23Fouls14

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahni Summers	G	35	7-10	6-8	1-2	4	0	2	0	21
Mikey Williams	G	33	7-23	2-8	2-2	3	5	1	0	18
Jayden Teat	G	16	4-8	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Mark Lavrenov	F	28	3-5	0-0	2-2	9	1	0	1	8
Taj Glover	G	26	2-8	1-2	0-0	6	1	2	0	5
Shaqir O'Neal	F	25	2-8	0-4	0-0	3	0	2	1	4
Brandon Gardner	F	22	1-6	0-4	0-0	9	1	0	1	2
Arman Madi	G	12	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jeremiah Nyarko	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Martel Williams	G	40	6-11	2-2	0-0	5	4	1	0	14
Thomas Ndong	F	29	4-6	0-0	4-7	17	0	1	2	12
Jayden Jackson	G	26	4-7	4-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	12
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	30	2-8	0-1	7-7	4	3	0	0	11
Devon Malcolm	F	24	2-11	0-3	5-8	4	3	1	2	9
Jordan Muller	G	23	2-10	1-5	3-4	1	0	0	0	8
Jonathan Griman	F	23	2-3	0-0	1-2	8	1	1	1	5
Nate Garcia	C	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

99.1Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency99.1

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

43.7%Effective FG%46.5%

45.4%True Shooting %51.9%

16.2%Turnover Rate19.3%

8.5%Free Throw Rate52.6%

45.1%3-Point Rate31.6%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.