Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Boise State

63.2%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -172

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 74

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreNevada 78

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricNevada

59.5MMH Power Index59.8

113.9Offensive Efficiency112.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency105.7

6.8Net Efficiency6.7

4.2Strength of Schedule3.7

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

68.6Tempo67.7

52.7%Effective FG%50.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

42.7%Free Throw Rate46.0%

4.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–112.4), net efficiency (6.8–6.7), strength of schedule (4.2–3.7), shooting efficiency (52.7–50.2).

Nevada COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.8–59.5), defensive efficiency (105.7–107.1), recent form (7.8–5.2).

Final

Boise State

66—81

Nevada

Nevada by 15 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATNevada

20-45FG25-45

44.0%FG%56.0%

7-223PT4-9

32.0%3PT%44.0%

19-31FT27-34

61.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds23

11Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists17

13Turnovers7

6Steals9

—Blocks2

24Fouls23

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Andrew Meadow	F	29	5-8	2-4	4-9	0	1	1	16
Dominic Parolin	F	27	1-2	0-0	11-14	10	0	1	13
Spencer Ahrens	F	16	4-6	3-5	0-0	2	2	0	11
Aginaldo Neto	G	22	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	5	1	6
Drew Fielder	C	12	2-4	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	6
Pearson Carmichael	F	16	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	5
RJ Keene II	G	21	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	3
Javan Buchanan	F	25	0-3	0-2	2-5	2	0	0	2
Dylan Andrews	G	21	1-5	0-2	0-1	0	1	1	2
Bhan Buom	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	2

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tayshawn Comer	G	27	5-9	1-1	13-14	1	4	1	0	24
Elijah Price	F	34	5-8	0-0	1-4	6	1	3	1	11
Peyton White	G	18	3-6	1-3	2-3	0	1	0	0	9
Vaughn Weems	G	25	2-5	1-2	3-4	1	2	2	0	8
Chuck Bailey III	G	24	3-5	0-1	2-3	6	3	1	0	8
Amire Robinson	G	9	1-2	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	6
Myles Walker	G	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	2	2	0	5
Kaleb Lowery	F	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	4
Tyler Rolison	G	18	1-4	0-0	2-2	1	3	0	0	4
Jeriah Coleman	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ethan Croley	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

105.6Offensive Efficiency129.6

129.6Defensive Efficiency105.6

-24.0Net Efficiency24.0

52.2%Effective FG%60.0%

55.3%True Shooting %66.2%

21.1%Turnover Rate11.1%

68.9%Free Throw Rate75.6%

48.9%3-Point Rate20.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Nevada won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.