Charleston

21-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Charleston

62.7%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -168

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCharleston 76

Projected Total157.8

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 81

Team Comparison

CharlestonMetricNorthern Kentucky

53.8MMH Power Index53.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency114.9

106.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

3.0Net Efficiency7.8

1.9Strength of Schedule-2.9

3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

69.1Tempo72.3

50.6%Effective FG%54.5%

15.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

42.1%Free Throw Rate37.1%

2.0Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–53.8), offensive efficiency (114.9–109.2), net efficiency (7.8–3.0), recent form (4.6–3.9).

Charleston COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.2–107.1), strength of schedule (1.9–-2.9), ball security (15.4–16.3).

Final

Charleston

85—74

Northern Kentucky

Charleston by 11 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CharlestonTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

29-53FG25-64

55.0%FG%39.0%

7-203PT10-33

35.0%3PT%30.0%

20-29FT14-16

69.0%FT%88.0%

34Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists10

15Turnovers17

13Steals12

3Blocks—

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Charleston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jlynn Counter	G	32	9-13	1-3	7-8	11	6	3	0	26
Connor Hickman	G	32	7-13	2-6	0-0	3	1	2	0	16
Jaxon Prunty	G	22	3-4	2-2	3-4	1	1	0	0	11
Christian Reeves	C	22	4-7	0-0	3-4	10	0	1	2	11
Chol Machot	C	19	3-4	0-0	3-5	5	1	2	1	9
Martin Kalu	G	25	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Djordje Curcic	G	23	0-4	0-2	3-6	2	1	4	0	3
Chadlyn Traylor	G	14	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	3
Chris Davis Jr.	G	11	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kael Robinson	F	32	6-16	5-10	5-6	9	0	1	22
Donovan Oday	G	30	9-19	0-5	2-2	6	2	2	20
Dan Gherezgher	G	36	5-15	3-10	5-6	2	3	2	18
LJ Wells	F	21	2-5	1-2	2-2	6	2	1	7
Tae Dozier	G	30	2-5	0-3	0-0	4	0	3	4
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	16	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	3
Ethan Elliott	G	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	0
Shawn Nelson	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0
Ryan Tolliver	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

115.3Offensive Efficiency100.4

100.4Defensive Efficiency115.3

14.9Net Efficiency-14.9

61.3%Effective FG%46.9%

63.6%True Shooting %51.7%

20.6%Turnover Rate22.8%

54.7%Free Throw Rate25.0%

37.7%3-Point Rate51.6%

0.87Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

Charleston won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.