Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.6%Murray State

52.4%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -110

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 77

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreValparaiso 79

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricValparaiso

53.6MMH Power Index49.9

115.0Offensive Efficiency106.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

4.0Net Efficiency0.8

3.5Strength of Schedule0.3

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

72.3Tempo67.5

54.0%Effective FG%48.7%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

39.1%Free Throw Rate40.0%

2.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–49.9), offensive efficiency (115.0–106.6), net efficiency (4.0–0.8), strength of schedule (3.5–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–111.0), recent form (-0.1–-9.5), ball security (15.6–16.3).

Final

Murray State

85—79

Valparaiso

Murray State by 6 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATValparaiso

28-57FG31-65

49.0%FG%48.0%

6-183PT7-18

33.0%3PT%39.0%

23-28FT10-15

82.0%FT%67.0%

36Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists14

11Turnovers11

5Steals4

4Blocks2

17Fouls24

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Roman Domon	G	24	4-5	1-2	11-14	3	1	2	0	20
Fred King	C	31	8-13	0-0	3-3	5	1	0	4	19
Javon Jackson	G	17	5-10	2-3	6-7	1	3	1	0	18
Layne Taylor	G	21	4-8	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	8
Mason Miller	F	24	2-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
JJ Traynor	F	19	2-4	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	5
KJ Tenner	G	19	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	4
Brayden Shorter	G	16	1-5	0-4	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Dylan Anderson	C	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
Mathis Courbon	G	23	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	0
Brock Vice	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Dease	F	28	10-13	3-4	2-2	4	2	0	0	25
Rakim Chaney	G	33	5-12	2-6	1-2	5	6	2	0	13
Shon Tupuola	C	32	4-6	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	1	11
Justus McNair	G	20	4-7	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	9
Brody Whitaker	G	20	3-7	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	6
Tucker Tornatta	C	8	2-4	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Carter Hopoi	F	21	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
JT Pettigrew	F	19	0-7	0-1	3-4	4	1	1	1	3
Kyonte Thomas	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Barnes	G	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

118.5Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency118.5

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

54.4%Effective FG%53.1%

60.5%True Shooting %54.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.3%

49.1%Free Throw Rate23.1%

31.6%3-Point Rate27.7%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Murray State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.