UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%UMBC

83.1%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -492

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 71

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 82

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricSouth Florida

59.1MMH Power Index68.8

113.0Offensive Efficiency117.3

99.0Defensive Efficiency101.6

14.0Net Efficiency15.7

-5.6Strength of Schedule1.8

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

65.5Tempo74.5

54.3%Effective FG%51.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.9%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

34.1%Free Throw Rate41.8%

9.1Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–59.1), offensive efficiency (117.3–113.0), net efficiency (15.7–14.0), strength of schedule (1.8–-5.6).

UMBC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.0–101.6), recent form (24.7–19.7), shooting efficiency (54.3–51.0).

Final

UMBC

69—94

South Florida

South Florida by 25 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATSouth Florida

26-59FG35-68

44.0%FG%51.0%

5-173PT11-26

29.0%3PT%42.0%

12-16FT13-18

75.0%FT%72.0%

31Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists23

15Turnovers8

4Steals10

3Blocks2

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jah'Likai King	G	29	8-14	0-2	4-4	1	4	2	0	20
Ace Valentine	G	33	4-7	2-4	0-0	8	2	1	0	10
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	30	3-10	3-8	0-0	0	3	0	0	9
Caden Diggs	F	23	2-6	0-1	3-4	1	1	1	1	7
Daylon Dickerson	F	19	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	6
Paul Greene	F	7	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Riley Jacobs	F	15	1-6	0-1	2-4	4	0	0	0	4
Josh Odunowo	F	20	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	1	3
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Tim Eze	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cougar Downing	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Pinion	G	35	9-16	7-12	0-0	3	0	3	0	25
Izaiyah Nelson	F	25	9-12	0-1	2-3	11	0	2	0	20
Josh Omojafo	G	23	2-5	0-1	7-10	4	3	0	0	11
Devin Haid	G	17	3-4	2-2	1-2	5	5	3	0	9
Adriel Nyorha	G	23	3-6	1-1	1-1	0	4	0	0	8
Tristan Beckford	F	16	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Daimion Collins	F	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	6
CJ Brown	G	24	1-9	0-2	2-2	5	7	0	0	4
Isaiah Jones	F	9	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Gavin Hightower	G	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Caleb Sanders	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

94.4Offensive Efficiency128.6

128.6Defensive Efficiency94.4

-34.2Net Efficiency34.2

48.3%Effective FG%59.6%

51.8%True Shooting %61.4%

20.4%Turnover Rate11.0%

27.1%Free Throw Rate26.5%

28.8%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.93Assist / Turnover2.88

Game Summary

South Florida won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.