Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Northern Arizona

79.7%Incarnate Word

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -393

Incarnate Word

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 70

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 80

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricIncarnate Word

36.9MMH Power Index44.6

107.1Offensive Efficiency112.0

114.8Defensive Efficiency111.2

-7.7Net Efficiency0.8

-1.8Strength of Schedule-3.6

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

66.6Tempo66.3

53.5%Effective FG%52.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.8%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

33.6%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-5.1Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–36.9), offensive efficiency (112.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (111.2–114.8), net efficiency (0.8–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.2), ball security (15.8–16.8).

Final

Northern Arizona

66—90

Incarnate Word

Incarnate Word by 24 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATIncarnate Word

24-47FG29-60

51.0%FG%48.0%

8-173PT12-28

47.0%3PT%43.0%

10-21FT20-30

48.0%FT%67.0%

26Rebounds39

3Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists13

14Turnovers7

1Steals8

2Blocks5

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Abelman	G	33	6-9	2-4	2-2	6	1	0	0	16
Kavon Bradford	G	31	5-6	0-0	2-6	0	3	0	0	12
Karl Poom	F	22	4-6	2-4	1-2	3	1	0	0	11
Zack Davidson	F	20	3-7	0-0	2-6	2	1	0	0	8
Arne Osojnik	G	21	2-4	2-3	0-0	6	2	0	1	6
Isaiah Shaw	G	21	2-6	1-2	1-2	3	2	0	0	6
Chris Komin	G	20	1-3	0-1	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
Brennan Peterson	G	7	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Traivar Jackson	F	13	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	1	1
Oakland Fort	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Diego Campisano	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Bailey	G	31	7-15	4-10	6-9	1	3	1	2	24
Jordan Pyke	F	26	7-10	2-2	2-2	6	1	2	0	18
Tahj Staveskie	G	29	4-13	2-7	4-6	5	7	1	0	14
Harold Woods	G	27	3-8	1-3	2-5	7	0	4	0	9
Esteban Mann	F	22	2-2	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	0	6
Marcus Glover	F	12	2-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	6
Harrison Reede	G	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Love Bettis	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Amani Drummond	G	2	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Lewis Rowe	C	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Jayden Williams	C	10	0-0	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	1	2
Drew Barbee	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Mihael Tomic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

97.5Offensive Efficiency132.9

132.9Defensive Efficiency97.5

-35.5Net Efficiency35.5

59.6%Effective FG%58.3%

57.9%True Shooting %60.6%

20.6%Turnover Rate10.4%

44.7%Free Throw Rate50.0%

36.2%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Incarnate Word won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.