Oregon State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%Oregon State

68.7%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -219

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon State 73

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreArizona State 79

Team Comparison

Oregon StateMetricArizona State

48.5MMH Power Index51

105.8Offensive Efficiency108.1

110.3Defensive Efficiency110.9

-4.5Net Efficiency-2.8

4.5Strength of Schedule7.0

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

67.2Tempo70.6

50.6%Effective FG%51.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.4%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

43.9%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-3.0Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–48.5), offensive efficiency (108.1–105.8), net efficiency (-2.8–-4.5), strength of schedule (7.0–4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–110.9), recent form (0.0–-7.5), free throw rate (43.9–40.2).

Final

Oregon State

78—75

Arizona State

Oregon State by 3 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oregon StateTEAM STATArizona State

25-57FG25-56

44.0%FG%45.0%

10-283PT4-19

36.0%3PT%21.0%

18-21FT21-24

86.0%FT%88.0%

39Rebounds29

14Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists11

12Turnovers9

6Steals6

2Blocks5

21Fouls21

Player Box Score

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Lake II	G	39	5-9	1-3	12-12	5	9	3	0	23
Noah Amenhauser	C	20	5-8	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	10
Jorge Diaz Graham	F	20	2-4	2-3	3-4	9	0	0	1	9
Isaiah Sy	F	30	2-7	2-6	2-2	4	0	0	1	8
Dez White	G	27	3-10	2-7	0-0	1	4	2	0	8
Matija Samar	G	10	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Yaak Yaak	C	10	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Olavi Suutela	F	18	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Malcolm Christie	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Johan Munch	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Keziah Ekissi	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maurice Odum	G	33	5-16	1-8	6-6	7	6	0	0	17
Massamba Diop	C	25	6-9	0-0	4-5	3	0	1	2	16
Santiago Trouet	F	30	5-8	1-2	2-2	3	1	1	2	13
Bryce Ford	G	30	3-7	1-5	2-2	4	1	1	0	9
Anthony Johnson	G	23	2-4	0-0	5-7	1	1	1	0	9
Noah Meeusen	G	22	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	16	1-4	0-2	1-1	1	2	0	1	3
Allen Mukeba	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Andrija Grbovic	F	12	0-3	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	0	1
Trevor Best	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

116.9Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency116.9

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

52.6%Effective FG%48.2%

58.2%True Shooting %55.6%

18.5%Turnover Rate13.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

49.1%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.