Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%Cincinnati

58.2%Clemson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADClemson -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL137.7

MODEL MONEYLINEClemson -139

Clemson

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 67

Projected Total137.7

Projected ScoreClemson 71

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricClemson

61.5MMH Power Index59.9

105.3Offensive Efficiency112.6

97.3Defensive Efficiency101.4

8.0Net Efficiency11.2

5.1Strength of Schedule4.6

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

69.4Tempo63.6

50.6%Effective FG%53.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.0%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %27.0%

30.7%Free Throw Rate38.1%

5.5Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Clemson HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMClemson holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.6–105.3), net efficiency (11.2–8.0), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.6), ball security (14.0–17.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–59.9), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.4), strength of schedule (5.1–4.6).

Final

Cincinnati

65—68

Clemson

Clemson by 3 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATClemson

22-58FG24-50

38.0%FG%48.0%

10-253PT10-20

40.0%3PT%50.0%

11-15FT10-14

73.0%FT%71.0%

36Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds2

9Assists15

12Turnovers12

5Steals6

4Blocks1

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Day Day Thomas	G	34	6-12	5-9	0-0	4	1	3	0	17
Moustapha Thiam	C	26	5-8	1-1	4-4	5	0	1	1	15
Jizzle James	G	29	3-9	1-2	3-4	3	3	0	0	10
Sencire Harris	G	28	4-9	1-1	1-3	4	1	0	0	10
Baba Miller	F	30	2-7	0-2	3-4	7	3	1	2	7
Jalen Celestine	G	16	1-6	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Shon Abaev	G	14	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Halvine Dzellat	C	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Kerr Kriisa	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Clemson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Buckner	G	27	5-11	1-2	1-2	2	3	1	0	12
Carter Welling	F	21	4-8	2-4	2-3	5	0	1	0	12
Jestin Porter	G	31	3-6	3-5	2-2	2	2	1	1	11
Dillon Hunter	G	34	2-5	1-1	5-6	7	4	0	0	10
Nick Davidson	F	27	4-5	2-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	10
RJ Godfrey	F	25	5-10	0-1	0-1	1	1	1	0	10
Jake Wahlin	F	20	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Butta Johnson	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Chase Thompson	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

97.2Offensive Efficiency101.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency97.2

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

46.6%Effective FG%58.0%

49.9%True Shooting %60.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate18.0%

25.9%Free Throw Rate28.0%

43.1%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Clemson won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.