Sam Houston

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%Sam Houston

49.1%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.7

MODEL MONEYLINESam Houston -104

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSam Houston 77

Projected Total154.7

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 78

Team Comparison

Sam HoustonMetricNew Mexico State

56.1MMH Power Index51.2

115.5Offensive Efficiency108.9

105.5Defensive Efficiency104.5

10.0Net Efficiency4.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule-0.7

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

71.2Tempo68.9

53.2%Effective FG%48.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

34.8%Free Throw Rate37.0%

7.1Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sam Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSam Houston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–51.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–108.9), net efficiency (10.0–4.4), recent form (3.2–-2.0).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.5–105.5), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.2), ball security (15.2–16.6).

Final

Sam Houston

78—87

New Mexico State

New Mexico State by 9 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sam HoustonTEAM STATNew Mexico State

25-68FG35-68

37.0%FG%51.0%

10-313PT9-24

32.0%3PT%38.0%

18-26FT8-11

69.0%FT%73.0%

43Rebounds35

17Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists13

12Turnovers7

4Steals5

3Blocks5

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Begg	G	26	7-15	4-10	2-3	0	2	1	0	20
Po'Boigh King	G	28	6-11	3-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	15
Kashie Natt	G	28	3-8	1-2	7-8	10	1	1	1	14
Damon Nicholas Jr.	G	29	3-11	0-3	2-2	8	0	1	0	8
Isaiah Manning	F	19	3-7	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	2	7
Jacob Walker	G	16	1-6	1-5	3-4	2	1	0	0	6
Veljko Ilic	F	20	1-4	0-0	2-4	8	0	0	0	4
Jacobe Coleman	G	19	1-6	0-2	1-2	2	3	1	0	3
Jaxson Ford	F	12	0-0	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	0	1
Matt Dann	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Beaumont	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Elliott	G	22	8-13	2-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	18
Jayland Randall	G	20	6-10	3-5	1-2	1	2	1	0	16
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	28	3-10	3-8	2-2	3	1	0	0	11
Jemel Jones	G	18	5-11	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	11
Julius Mims	F	29	3-7	0-0	3-5	9	0	0	2	9
Cyr Malonga	C	11	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Gabe Pickens	G	21	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Kyrese Mullen	F	14	2-4	0-2	0-0	5	2	2	0	4
Chris Terrell	G	12	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	4
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	2	2
Augustine Ekwe	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

105.0Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency105.0

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

44.1%Effective FG%58.1%

48.5%True Shooting %59.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate9.6%

38.2%Free Throw Rate16.2%

45.6%3-Point Rate35.3%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.