Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Indiana State

83.4%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -502

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 68

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreIllinois State 79

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricIllinois State

44.4MMH Power Index54.3

104.7Offensive Efficiency110.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency101.4

-1.3Net Efficiency9.2

0.1Strength of Schedule1.0

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

70.3Tempo67.5

53.6%Effective FG%54.3%

19.5%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

28.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-0.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (101.4–106.0), net efficiency (9.2–-1.3).

Final

Indiana State

65—85

Illinois State

Illinois State by 20 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATIllinois State

20-46FG34-65

43.0%FG%52.0%

9-243PT5-16

38.0%3PT%31.0%

16-27FT12-15

59.0%FT%80.0%

28Rebounds37

2Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists16

11Turnovers4

4Steals6

4Blocks1

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Scott	F	31	6-10	3-5	5-7	2	1	0	1	20
Xavier Hall	G	31	4-9	1-5	2-2	2	4	1	0	11
Camp Wagner	G	33	3-9	2-5	2-2	7	1	0	0	10
Derek Vorst	C	28	2-5	1-2	3-6	5	2	1	1	8
Sterling Young	G	13	1-4	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Bruno Alocen	G	15	1-3	0-2	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
Jayan Walker	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Caden Huttenlocker	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	19	1-4	0-2	0-1	1	0	1	0	2
Enel St. Bernard	F	17	0-0	0-0	1-6	5	1	0	2	1
Cooper Bean	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Sivert Waerstad Nordheim	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Walker	F	21	8-13	0-0	2-2	5	3	2	0	18
Ty Pence	G	18	6-8	1-1	2-3	1	2	0	0	15
Johnny Kinziger	G	29	5-9	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Boden Skunberg	G	22	3-5	2-2	1-2	4	0	0	0	9
Mason Klabo	G	16	4-6	0-2	0-0	4	3	0	0	8
Brandon Lieb	F	19	3-5	0-0	1-1	7	4	0	1	7
Landon Moore	G	18	1-1	1-1	4-4	1	1	2	0	7
Landon Wolf	G	13	2-8	0-2	1-1	5	0	0	0	5
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	25	1-5	0-1	1-2	1	2	1	0	3
Jack Daugherty	F	17	1-5	1-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
Ty Blake	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

95.7Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency95.7

-29.5Net Efficiency29.5

53.3%Effective FG%56.2%

55.2%True Shooting %58.9%

16.2%Turnover Rate5.9%

58.7%Free Throw Rate23.1%

52.2%3-Point Rate24.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.