UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%UC Irvine

64.0%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -178

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 73

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 77

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricNorth Dakota State

58.4MMH Power Index59

106.9Offensive Efficiency115.4

95.0Defensive Efficiency100.8

11.9Net Efficiency14.6

-1.0Strength of Schedule-4.6

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

72.3Tempo69.6

50.7%Effective FG%54.5%

17.6%Turnover Rate15.5%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

36.5%Free Throw Rate31.3%

8.6Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–58.4), offensive efficiency (115.4–106.9), net efficiency (14.6–11.9), recent form (14.3–10.0).

UC Irvine COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.0–100.8), strength of schedule (-1.0–-4.6), offensive rebounding (33.1–32.0).

Final

UC Irvine

74—73

North Dakota State

UC Irvine by 1 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

29-58FG27-58

50.0%FG%47.0%

6-173PT11-25

35.0%3PT%44.0%

10-16FT8-17

63.0%FT%47.0%

29Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds19

21Assists13

11Turnovers19

8Steals7

3Blocks2

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Evans	F	32	11-12	0-0	2-2	9	3	1	3	24
Jurian Dixon	G	27	6-13	2-6	2-2	1	3	0	0	16
Derin Saran	G	32	4-12	1-5	0-1	2	5	0	0	9
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	16	3-4	2-3	0-0	1	2	6	0	8
Elijah Chol	F	28	2-8	1-1	0-0	8	0	0	0	5
Harrison Carrington	F	12	1-2	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	0	5
Andre Henry	G	16	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Tama Isaac	G	30	1-3	0-1	1-5	1	6	1	0	3
Nes Emeneke	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	34	3-10	2-3	6-6	4	5	0	0	14
Markhi Strickland	G	25	7-10	0-0	0-5	7	3	1	0	14
Trevian Carson	G	35	5-9	2-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	12
Treyson Anderson	F	19	3-8	3-6	1-4	7	0	0	0	10
Emil Skytta	G	14	4-4	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Andy Stefonowicz	G	36	3-8	2-6	0-0	3	3	2	1	8
Noah Feddersen	F	21	1-4	0-1	1-2	9	1	0	1	3
Riley Massey	G	10	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Tay Smith	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Carson Smith	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

112.3Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency112.3

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

55.2%Effective FG%56.0%

56.4%True Shooting %55.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate28.8%

27.6%Free Throw Rate29.3%

29.3%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.91Assist / Turnover0.68

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.