Idaho

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Idaho

44.1%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -127

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho 82

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Team Comparison

IdahoMetricCal Poly

53.2MMH Power Index46.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency107.2

104.3Defensive Efficiency111.0

7.3Net Efficiency-3.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule1.7

4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

69.7Tempo76.6

52.8%Effective FG%52.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate19.8%

29.5%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

34.6%Free Throw Rate35.8%

5.1Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–46.5), offensive efficiency (111.6–107.2), defensive efficiency (104.3–111.0), net efficiency (7.3–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.4), offensive rebounding (29.9–29.5), free throw rate (35.8–34.6).

Final

Idaho

83—80

Cal Poly

Idaho by 3 • 82.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IdahoTEAM STATCal Poly

24-66FG21-61

36.0%FG%34.0%

14-343PT7-37

41.0%3PT%19.0%

21-28FT31-39

75.0%FT%79.0%

45Rebounds45

11Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists6

14Turnovers14

8Steals6

2Blocks2

29Fouls21

Player Box Score

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kolton Mitchell	G	39	7-17	6-12	11-14	6	2	1	0	31
Biko Johnson	G	40	6-15	2-8	7-8	8	5	4	0	21
Trevon Blassingame	G	25	4-8	4-7	0-0	7	1	1	0	12
Jackson Rasmussen	F	42	2-7	1-1	3-6	1	2	1	0	8
Brody Rowbury	F	34	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Isaiah Brickner	G	15	1-10	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Jack Payne	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Miles Klapper	G	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Seth Joba	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	2	0
Ewan Steele	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	39	7-15	2-8	17-19	10	1	1	0	33
Cayden Ward	G	42	7-12	2-7	6-7	6	1	1	1	22
Austin Goode	F	19	2-6	2-5	2-2	4	0	0	1	8
Peter Bandelj	G	31	2-7	0-5	2-3	3	2	2	0	6
Jake Davis	G	20	1-2	0-0	2-3	2	1	2	0	4
Kieran Elliott	G	25	1-4	1-1	0-0	10	0	0	0	3
Troy Plumtree	F	9	1-2	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Luka Tarlac	G	7	0-4	0-2	2-4	1	0	0	0	2
Guzman Vasilic	G	25	0-5	0-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Ali Assran	F	8	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.9Possessions82.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency96.5

96.5Defensive Efficiency100.1

3.6Net Efficiency-3.6

47.0%Effective FG%40.2%

52.3%True Shooting %50.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

42.4%Free Throw Rate63.9%

51.5%3-Point Rate60.7%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.43

Game Summary

Idaho won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 82.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.