Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%Abilene Christian

58.2%Texas Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Southern -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Southern -139

Texas Southern

12-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 72

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreTexas Southern 74

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricTexas Southern

42.4MMH Power Index40.8

101.1Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.1Defensive Efficiency106.7

-3.0Net Efficiency-2.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule-6.3

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

69.6Tempo69.8

48.9%Effective FG%50.3%

20.6%Turnover Rate18.4%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

42.0%Free Throw Rate39.3%

-2.1Average Margin-1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Southern holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (104.2–101.1), net efficiency (-2.5–-3.0), recent form (3.5–-5.3), shooting efficiency (50.3–48.9).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (42.4–40.8), defensive efficiency (104.1–106.7), strength of schedule (-1.4–-6.3).

Final

Abilene Christian

75—68

Texas Southern

Abilene Christian by 7 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATTexas Southern

24-50FG26-50

48.0%FG%52.0%

5-193PT3-11

26.0%3PT%27.0%

22-27FT13-19

81.0%FT%68.0%

31Rebounds24

8Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists6

15Turnovers14

8Steals10

1Blocks4

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradyn Hubbard	F	34	6-13	2-5	8-10	6	3	4	0	22
Rich Smith	G	36	5-8	0-1	4-5	5	5	3	0	14
Zy Wright	G	23	4-8	3-5	3-3	3	0	0	0	14
Cbo Newton	G	35	2-10	0-5	4-4	2	1	1	0	8
Cade Hornecker	F	17	3-3	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	1	7
Joseph Venzant	G	21	1-3	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Joseph Scott	F	20	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	3
Christian Alston	G	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Tylan Lewis	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ma'Shy Hill	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Dye	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Roberts	G	35	7-15	2-4	0-0	2	1	2	1	16
Zytarious Mortle	G	33	8-14	0-2	0-0	6	2	2	0	16
Troy Hupstead	F	34	4-7	0-1	4-6	3	1	1	1	12
Oumar Koureissi	F	19	2-3	0-0	4-6	1	0	1	0	8
Alex Anderson	G	15	2-2	0-0	4-5	0	0	1	0	8
Zaire Hayes	G	30	2-8	1-4	1-2	3	0	0	0	6
Anthony Andrews	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Duane Posey	G	23	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	2	2	2	0
Jaylen Wysinger	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Josh Akpovwa	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

108.1Offensive Efficiency98.0

98.0Defensive Efficiency108.1

10.1Net Efficiency-10.1

53.0%Effective FG%55.0%

59.7%True Shooting %57.6%

21.5%Turnover Rate20.3%

54.0%Free Throw Rate38.0%

38.0%3-Point Rate22.0%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.43

Game Summary

Abilene Christian won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.