Portland

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%Portland

81.4%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -438

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland 72

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 82

Team Comparison

PortlandMetricUC Santa Barbara

42.7MMH Power Index51.4

104.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

110.6Defensive Efficiency106.1

-5.8Net Efficiency7.1

1.8Strength of Schedule-2.0

-8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

71.0Tempo68.5

52.0%Effective FG%54.8%

19.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

36.9%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-4.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–42.7), offensive efficiency (113.2–104.8), defensive efficiency (106.1–110.6), net efficiency (7.1–-5.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-2.0).

Final

Portland

61—79

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 18 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PortlandTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

25-55FG30-56

45.0%FG%54.0%

4-173PT14-29

24.0%3PT%48.0%

7-11FT5-9

64.0%FT%56.0%

30Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists23

14Turnovers13

4Steals10

3Blocks2

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
James O'Donnell	F	22	6-9	0-0	3-5	1	0	0	2	15
Cameron Williams	F	33	4-7	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	0	10
Timo George	F	24	4-7	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	1	9
Mikah Ballew	G	29	2-10	2-7	1-1	0	0	2	0	7
Garrett Nuckolls	G	18	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Joel Foxwell	G	30	2-8	1-4	0-0	3	7	0	0	5
Matúš Hronský	F	19	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	4
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	18	2-5	0-1	0-1	4	0	0	0	4
Dante Censori-Hercules	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	30	5-9	4-7	1-2	3	3	1	0	15
Hosana Kitenge	F	17	6-6	1-1	1-1	2	1	1	1	14
Colin Smith	F	29	4-7	3-4	1-1	4	3	0	0	12
Evans Kipruto	C	19	5-7	0-0	2-4	8	0	1	1	12
CJ Shaw	G	34	4-6	2-3	0-1	0	11	2	0	10
Zachiah Clark	G	14	2-6	2-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Zion Sensley	G	23	2-7	1-3	0-0	4	2	2	0	5
Marvin McGhee IV	G	18	1-6	1-5	0-0	2	0	2	0	3
Michael Simcoe	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Koat Keat Tong	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Zuffelato	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

95.6Offensive Efficiency123.8

123.8Defensive Efficiency95.6

-28.2Net Efficiency28.2

49.1%Effective FG%66.1%

50.6%True Shooting %65.5%

21.8%Turnover Rate20.5%

20.0%Free Throw Rate16.1%

30.9%3-Point Rate51.8%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.77

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.