American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.7%American University

94.3%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -18.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -1654

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 66

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreVirginia 84

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricVirginia

48.2MMH Power Index68.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency119.0

105.8Defensive Efficiency101.8

4.8Net Efficiency17.2

-4.3Strength of Schedule5.2

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

67.5Tempo67.6

52.6%Effective FG%55.0%

15.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

30.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

3.3Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–48.2), offensive efficiency (119.0–110.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–105.8), net efficiency (17.2–4.8).

American University COUNTERS WITHball security (15.7–16.0).

Final

American University

51—95

Virginia

Virginia by 44 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATVirginia

19-60FG38-61

32.0%FG%62.0%

8-353PT9-23

23.0%3PT%39.0%

5-6FT10-18

83.0%FT%56.0%

23Rebounds45

10Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists25

10Turnovers9

7Steals7

1Blocks2

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julen Iturbe	F	22	4-8	3-6	2-2	4	2	1	1	13
Greg Jones	F	32	4-11	2-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	10
Madden Collins	G	24	4-12	0-5	1-2	2	1	3	0	9
Geoff Sprouse	G	20	3-6	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Wyatt Nausadis	G	25	2-8	0-3	0-0	4	3	0	0	4
Chris Eagan	F	15	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Kade Sebastian	G	27	1-5	0-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Matt Mayock	F	25	0-7	0-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
Luke Brown	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jack Anderson	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matthew Casey	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thijs De Ridder	F	24	11-15	3-4	2-3	8	0	2	0	27
Sam Lewis	G	24	4-9	3-7	0-0	2	3	1	0	11
Malik Thomas	G	21	3-6	0-3	5-8	4	3	1	0	11
Elijah Gertrude	G	16	4-4	2-2	1-1	2	3	1	0	11
Chance Mallory	G	23	5-6	0-1	0-0	5	4	0	0	10
Johann Grunloh	C	19	4-6	0-0	0-2	6	2	0	1	8
Ugonna Onyenso	C	17	3-4	0-1	2-3	6	0	0	1	8
Devin Tillis	F	22	2-6	0-3	0-0	7	3	0	0	4
Martin Carrere	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Dallin Hall	G	25	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	7	2	0	2
Carter Lang	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

79.9Offensive Efficiency148.9

148.9Defensive Efficiency79.9

-69.0Net Efficiency69.0

38.3%Effective FG%69.7%

40.6%True Shooting %68.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate13.9%

10.0%Free Throw Rate29.5%

58.3%3-Point Rate37.7%

1.10Assist / Turnover2.78

Game Summary

Virginia won by 44 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.