North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.4%North Dakota State

24.6%UTEP

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -307

UTEP

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 77

Projected Total147.1

Projected ScoreUTEP 70

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricUTEP

59MMH Power Index44.4

115.4Offensive Efficiency102.6

100.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

14.6Net Efficiency-4.5

-4.6Strength of Schedule1.7

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

69.6Tempo67.6

54.5%Effective FG%49.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.6%

10.1Average Margin-3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–44.4), offensive efficiency (115.4–102.6), defensive efficiency (100.8–107.1), net efficiency (14.6–-4.5).

UTEP COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-4.6), free throw rate (35.6–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

66—76

UTEP

UTEP by 10 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATUTEP

24-48FG26-55

50.0%FG%47.0%

3-163PT8-20

19.0%3PT%40.0%

15-21FT16-21

71.0%FT%76.0%

27Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists12

16Turnovers13

4Steals12

3Blocks3

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevian Carson	G	37	9-15	1-3	4-6	8	3	3	0	23
Treyson Anderson	F	17	4-8	0-3	3-5	4	2	0	1	11
Andy Stefonowicz	G	38	2-7	1-5	5-6	7	3	0	0	10
Markhi Strickland	G	31	5-8	0-0	0-1	1	3	0	0	10
Noah Feddersen	F	23	2-2	0-0	3-3	2	1	0	2	7
Riley Massey	G	30	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Emil Skytta	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tay Smith	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Majerle	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

UTEP

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Jones	F	30	10-15	2-5	2-3	4	2	1	0	24
Jamal West Jr.	F	27	5-10	0-0	5-6	6	1	1	2	15
Caleb Blackwell	G	26	5-8	4-5	1-2	1	1	0	0	15
Kaseem Watson	F	28	3-8	1-3	3-4	5	3	2	0	10
KJ Thomas	G	26	1-4	1-3	2-2	2	4	2	0	5
Cassius Brooks	G	20	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	2
David Tubek	F	5	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Bobby Montgomery Jr.	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Mouhamed Mbaye	C	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Trey Horton III	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
C.J. Smith	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	4	0	0
Jordan Hernandez	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
LA Hayes	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

97.1Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency97.1

-14.7Net Efficiency14.7

53.1%Effective FG%54.5%

56.9%True Shooting %58.5%

23.5%Turnover Rate19.1%

43.8%Free Throw Rate38.2%

33.3%3-Point Rate36.4%

0.81Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

UTEP won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.